Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg
Match Preview
The model favours Rosenborg to win against Ham-Kam, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently sitting in 5th place, Rosenborg has shown strong form this season, with a record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses over 22 matches. They have scored 40 goals while conceding 31, resulting in a positive goal difference of 9. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, indicating a team that is gaining momentum. In contrast, Ham-Kam is struggling in 13th place with only 23 points from 21 matches, having won just 6 times. Their goal-scoring record of 29 goals against 44 conceded highlights a defensive vulnerability, reflected in their goal difference of -15. With only one win and three losses in their last five matches, Ham-Kam faces a challenging task to turn their fortunes around against a stronger opponent. Based on the current data, the model suggests a win probability of approximately 65% for Rosenborg. A key market to watch is Rosenborg's odds for a clean sheet, which could be an attractive option given Ham-Kam's difficulties in scoring. However, if Ham-Kam can exploit any defensive lapses from Rosenborg, it could lead to an unexpected result. More details on the prediction methodology can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
Rosenborg have been the stronger side, winning 49% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Rosenborg win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Rosenborg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.58 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.26 | 4.28 | 1.59 | 1.55 | 2.47 | — | — | |
| 4.22 | 3.74 | 1.56 | — | — | — | — | |
| 4.80 | 3.90 | 1.62 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 5.03 | 4.31 | 1.62 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
Betano | 4.85 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Rosenborg leads 5-2)In the last eight matches between Ham-Kam and Rosenborg, Rosenborg has won five times, Ham-Kam has two victories, and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several matches being one-sided, particularly Rosenborg's 4-0 victory and Ham-Kam's 4-0 win. The presence of three matches ending in a score of 2-0 or 1-0 suggests a tendency for tight contests, though Ham-Kam's recent 3-0 win indicates they can also secure substantial victories. Rosenborg's last defeat in this matchup was in 2025, reflecting their stronger historical performance overall.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHam-Kam have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Bodo/Glimt 0-2 and lost to Molde 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 16L from the last 37 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosenborg have won 5 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Fløya 1-4 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 14L from the last 37 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHam-Kam
No reported absences
Rosenborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Ham-Kam have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Rosenborg 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosenborg have generated 1.77 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 49% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosenborg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
