Lillestrom vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lillestrom vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours Lillestrom to win against Brann, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 6th place, Lillestrom has had a mixed season with 10 wins and 9 losses from 22 matches, resulting in 33 points. Their goal difference of -1 indicates a struggle defensively, but they have shown resilience, winning two of their last five matches. Brann is just behind in 7th place, with 29 points from their 22 matches, having won 9 and lost 11. While they have scored more goals than Lillestrom with 39, their defensive record has been weaker, conceding 34 goals. Their form has been inconsistent, with only two wins in their last five games, which raises concerns about their ability to maintain pressure in this match. The model gives Lillestrom a win probability of approximately 55% for this match. While they are slightly favoured, one caveat is that their defensive vulnerabilities could allow Brann to exploit gaps and potentially equalise or score. You can find more about how we reached this prediction in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last 10 matches between Lillestrom and Brann, Brann has won 6 times, with 2 draws and Lillestrom failing to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a trend towards Brann's dominance, as they have achieved multiple two-goal margins in their wins, including a 2-0 result on three occasions. The matches have generally been competitive, with two draws reflecting some resilience from Lillestrom, but they have not won against Brann since 2019. This head-to-head record highlights a clear advantage for Brann in recent encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 29 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLillestrom have won 10 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Lillestrom 2-2 and lost to Lillestrom 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 16L from the last 43 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brann have won 9 of their last 24 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Brann 3-1 and lost to Start 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 20L from the last 47 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLillestrom
No reported absences
Brann
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
