Start vs Sandefjord Prediction, Tips & Odds
Start vs Sandefjord
Match Preview
The model favours Sandefjord to win against Start, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sandefjord currently sits in 12th place in the league, having accumulated 24 points from 22 matches. Their season has been marked by a mixed bag of results, but they have shown some resilience, particularly with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. Key stats indicate a slightly better goal difference of -6, which reflects their ability to score more effectively compared to Start. In contrast, Start is struggling at the bottom of the table in 16th position, with only 16 points from their 22 games. Their season has been challenging, as indicated by a record of 4 wins and 14 losses. Despite a recent uptick in form with three wins in their last five matches, their overall goals scored (24) and conceded (48) paint a grim picture of their defensive vulnerabilities. The model outputs a win probability of 55% for Sandefjord, suggesting a solid chance of victory. However, a potential caveat is Start's recent form, which has shown they can be unpredictable and may pose a challenge. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model focusing on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Start have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Start are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Start vs Sandefjord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.08 | 3.75 | 3.05 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.54 | 2.28 | |
| 2.10 | 3.94 | 3.13 | 1.67 | 2.23 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.14 | 3.85 | 3.13 | 1.68 | 2.22 | 1.54 | 2.32 | |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sandefjord leads 4-1)In the last 10 matches between Start and Sandefjord, the record stands at 1 win for Start, 4 draws, and 4 wins for Sandefjord. This indicates a fairly even contest overall, although Sandefjord has the upper hand with a slight advantage in wins. The scorelines reveal a mix of tightly contested matches and a few heavy defeats, notably Sandefjord's 4-1 victories in 2018. There have been four draws, highlighting the competitive nature of their encounters, with the last win for Start dating back to March 2023.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 | LDWLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 | Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonStart have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Start 2-4 and beat Start 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 20L from the last 39 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sandefjord have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Sandefjord 1-1 and beat Flint 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 11L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersStart
No reported absences
Sandefjord
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Start have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Sandefjord 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Start have generated 1.62 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Start player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
