Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours KFUM Oslo to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. KFUM Oslo currently sits in 11th place in the Eliteserien, having accumulated 25 points from 21 matches. Their season has been marked by a blend of offensive capability, scoring 25 goals, although they have also conceded 35. Recent form shows they have won three of their last five matches, indicating a team that is capable of finding momentum. In contrast, Kristiansund BK finds itself at the bottom of the table in 15th place with only 19 points from 22 matches. Their season has been challenging, with a goal difference of -21, having scored 22 goals while conceding 43. Their recent form is concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, suggesting difficulties in both attack and defense. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for KFUM Oslo, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Kristiansund's need to secure points to avoid relegation, which may lead to a more resilient performance than expected. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
KFUM Oslo have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. KFUM Oslo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.34 | 3.45 | 3.01 | 1.75 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.36 | 3.54 | 2.93 | 1.76 | 2.09 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (KFUM Oslo leads 4-2)The head-to-head record between Kristiansund BK and KFUM Oslo stands at 2 wins for Kristiansund, 4 draws, and 4 wins for KFUM Oslo over the last 10 matches. This indicates a closely contested rivalry, with KFUM Oslo having a slight edge. The scorelines reflect a mix of results, including two heavy victories for KFUM Oslo, notably a 5-0 win. However, there have also been several tight matches, with four encounters ending in draws and only a few goals separating the teams in their victories. The last time Kristiansund BK won was in November 2024, suggesting a challenge in recent matchups.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKristiansund BK have won 7 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Aalesund 1-4 and beat Tromso 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 19L from the last 38 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 4 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include drew with KFUM Oslo 1-1 and beat Hønefoss 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 17L from the last 39 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKristiansund BK
No reported absences
KFUM Oslo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Kristiansund BK have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
KFUM Oslo have generated 1.12 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. KFUM Oslo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
