Viking vs Tromso Prediction, Tips & Odds
Viking vs Tromso
Match Preview
The model favours Viking to win against Tromso, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Viking currently sits at the top of the Eliteserien standings, boasting an impressive record of 17 wins, 2 draws, and only 3 losses from 22 matches. Their attacking prowess has seen them score 56 goals, while their solid defence has conceded just 20, resulting in a remarkable goal difference of +36. This form indicates they are not only winning but doing so convincingly. On the other hand, Tromso is in third place with 11 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, totaling 39 points. While they have had a respectable season, their recent form has been inconsistent, with only 2 wins in their last five matches. Their goal difference of +11 suggests they may struggle defensively against a high-scoring team like Viking, which could be a factor in this matchup. According to the model, Viking has a strong win probability, with significant backing from their season performance. However, one caveat is that if Tromso can find their rhythm and exploit any defensive lapses from Viking, they could pose a challenge. For more details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
Viking have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Viking win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Viking clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Viking are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Viking vs Tromso| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.43 | 4.75 | 6.05 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 1.47 | 4.87 | 6.05 | 1.48 | 2.66 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.80 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 1.47 | 4.88 | 6.21 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Viking leads 4-1)In the last 10 encounters between Viking and Tromso, Viking has won 4 matches, there have been 5 draws, and Tromso has won just 1 time. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and a mix of narrow and high-scoring results. Notably, the most recent match saw Tromso edge Viking 4-3, but prior to that, Viking had a stronger record, featuring a 3-1 win and a 2-1 victory. The overall head-to-head suggests that while Viking has had the upper hand, the matches have often been closely contested.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 56 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 59 | 22 | 37 | 56 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 40 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 40 | DDWLL |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 37 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 36 | WDLWW |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 24 | WLWLW |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 16 | LLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonViking have won 15 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Bayern München 3-3 and beat Kristiansund BK 8-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 28W 7D 5L from the last 40 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tromso have won 9 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Fredrikstad 1-1 and beat Alta 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 10D 11L from the last 42 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersViking
No reported absences
Tromso
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Viking have averaged 8.1 corners per match at home; Tromso 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Viking have generated 1.74 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 70% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Viking player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
