Brentford vs Tottenham Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brentford vs Tottenham
Match Preview
The model favours Brentford to win against Tottenham, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Brentford starts the season positioned fourth in the league, reflecting a solid last five matches form of two wins, two draws, and one loss. While the season has yet to begin, their recent performances indicate a competitive edge, particularly in their ability to score and maintain stability in defence. On the other hand, Tottenham finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 20th place, although they too are yet to play this season. Their last five matches show a strong form with three wins and two draws, suggesting they are capable of performing well. However, their lack of recent competitive matches may hinder their momentum as they enter this new campaign. The model output indicates a win probability of 60% for Brentford, with a potential score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is Brentford's likelihood to score at least two goals. A caveat to this prediction is that if Tottenham can carry their recent form into the new season, they might pose a significant challenge to Brentford. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Brentford have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brentford are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brentford vs Tottenham| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 2.14 | 3.74 | 3.36 | 1.71 | 2.16 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.16 | 3.77 | 3.30 | 1.74 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 3.46 | 3.05 | 1.70 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.19 | 3.80 | 3.37 | 1.76 | 2.23 | 1.57 | 2.28 | |
| 2.14 | 3.65 | 3.25 | 1.62 | 2.28 | 1.52 | 2.40 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Superbet | 2.17 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 1.71 | 2.15 | 1.61 | 2.27 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.25 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tottenham leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between Brentford and Tottenham, Tottenham has won 5 times, Brentford has won once, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including three draws and two matches ending with only a one-goal margin. However, Tottenham has often managed to secure victories, with two of their wins coming by a two-goal margin. Brentford's last win against Tottenham was in May 2023, suggesting that while there have been draws, Tottenham has had the upper hand in this matchup historically.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWW |
| 5 | Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | DDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 18 | Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrentford have won 3 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Brentford 3-0 and beat Brentford 7-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 5L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tottenham have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Tottenham 0-0 and lost to Brentford 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 11L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedBrentford4-2-3-1Confirmed
Tottenham4-3-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
11 playersBrentford3
Tottenham8
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Oliver has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Brentford have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Tottenham 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brentford have generated 1.87 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 6.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brentford player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
