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Brondby vs Randers FC Prediction, Tips & Odds

Brondby vs Randers FC

SuperligaRegular Season - 7
Brondby
#5 · Superliga
LLWWD
0 - 3
Randers FC
#7 · Superliga
WWLWL
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.63
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 (implied 63.8%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.51). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.3% vs 63.8%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Brondby to win against Randers FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Brondby currently sits in third place in the Superliga standings, having played four matches this season. Their form has been strong, with three wins and one draw, resulting in a total of ten points. With seven goals scored and only three conceded, their positive goal difference of four highlights a solid defensive and attacking performance early in the season. In contrast, Randers FC is struggling in ninth place, having played five matches. Their record of one win, one draw, and three losses has resulted in only four points. They have managed to score three goals but have conceded seven, leading to a goal difference of -4. This indicates that they are having difficulties both in creating chances and in defending effectively, which could be a concern as they face a stronger opponent. According to the model's calculations, Brondby holds a significant win probability for this match, with a projected score of 2-0. However, a potential caveat is that if Randers can improve their performance and take advantage of any defensive lapses from Brondby, they could pose a threat. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Brondby Win55%1.52
Draw20%4.31
Randers FC Win26%5.36
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6557.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5758.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Brondby 2-1 Randers FC
7.5113.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Brondby -0.5
1.5149%

Brondby have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-1
7.51
13.4%
1-1
7.86
12.8%
2-0
8.01
12.6%
1-0
8.05
12.5%
3-1
10.48
9.6%
3-0
10.96
9.2%

Our model projects a 2-1 Brondby win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Brondby clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Brondby
-0.0
1.20
Randers FC
+0.0
4.18
Brondby
-0.5
1.51
Randers FC
+0.5
4.85
Brondby
-1.5
2.50
Randers FC
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Brondby are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Brondby vs Randers FC
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.534.205.501.602.301.622.10
Marathonbet
1.524.405.351.512.271.632.11
Betfair
1.504.335.501.572.38
Pinnacle
1.564.675.441.562.52
SBO
1.463.884.84
William Hill
1.504.205.001.622.15
Bet365
1.554.335.251.572.351.702.05
1xBet
1.544.405.241.512.271.632.14
Unibet
1.494.405.801.582.321.672.05
Betano
1.554.355.601.622.351.702.07
Superbet
1.554.405.501.632.271.722.05
BetVictor
1.504.205.251.532.291.602.20

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
38.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XBrondby or Draw
74%1.14
12Brondby or Randers FC
80%1.19
X2Draw or Randers FC
45%2.43

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Brondby leads 5-1)
5 Brondby4 Draw1 Randers FC
08 Feb
Brondby
0-0
Randers FC
Superliga
Aug 25
Randers FC
0-2
Brondby
Superliga
Apr 25
Randers FC
0-0
Brondby
Superliga
Apr 25
Brondby
4-3
Randers FC
Superliga
Mar 25
Randers FC
4-2
Brondby
Superliga
Aug 24
Brondby
2-2
Randers FC
Superliga
Nov 23
Randers FC
0-1
Brondby
DBU Pokalen
Oct 23
Randers FC
2-2
Brondby
Superliga
Sept 23
Brondby
3-1
Randers FC
Superliga
May 23
Randers FC
1-3
Brondby
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Brondby and Randers FC, Brondby has won 5 times, Randers FC has won once, and there have been 4 draws. This record indicates a strong advantage for Brondby, especially considering that their wins include several by significant margins, such as a 4-3 victory and a 3-1 win. The frequent draws, however, suggest that matches can be competitive, with three of the last four encounters ending level. Randers FC's solitary win came in March 2025, making it a notable outlier in an otherwise one-sided recent history.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
76012081218
WWWLW
2
FC Midtjylland
6420105514
WDWDW
3
FC Nordsjaelland
641194513
LWWWW
4
Viborg
7412106413
LWWWD
5
Brondby
74121110113
LLWWW
6
AC Horsens
73131312110
WLWWL
7
Randers FC
731388010
WWLLW
10
Odense
7124512-75
LDDLL
11
Aarhus
7043913-44
DLLDL
12
Sonderjyske
7016718-111
LLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BrondbyHome
3W0D1L
4 playedGF 7 · GA 62.25 pts/game
Randers FCAway
1W0D2L
3 playedGF 3 · GA 21.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BrondbyRanders FC
1.5Goals p.g.1.52
1.4Goals conceded p.g.1.52
30%Clean sheets26%
30%Win rate35%
2.9Avg goals in match3.03
1.50xG per game1.26
-0.02xGA per game-0.26
51%Possession %45%
4.4Shots on target / game4.2
5.6Corners per game4.9
Brondby
Recent Form

Brondby have won 7 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Randers FC 0-3 and beat Silkeborg 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 13L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BrondbyAll competitions
06 Sept
Brondby
0-3
Randers FC
Superliga
30 Aug
FC Nordsjaelland
3-1
Brondby
Superliga
24 Aug
Brondby
3-1
Silkeborg
Superliga
02 Aug
Brondby
1-0
Viborg
Superliga
25 Jul
Aarhus
1-1
Brondby
Superliga
18 Jul
Hibernian
2-1
Brondby
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
30%
8
Draw
27%
13
Lost
43%
Randers FC
Recent Form

Randers FC have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Randers FC 0-3 and lost to FC Midtjylland 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 12L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Randers FCAll competitions
06 Sept
Brondby
0-3
Randers FC
Superliga
30 Aug
Randers FC
2-1
Aarhus
Superliga
23 Aug
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Randers FC
Superliga
19 Aug
ASA Aarhus
0-4
Randers FC
DBU Pokalen
02 Aug
FC Nordsjaelland
1-0
Randers FC
Superliga
27 Jul
Randers FC
1-1
Silkeborg
Superliga
11
Win
35%
8
Draw
26%
12
Lost
39%

Lineups

Confirmed

Brondby4-2-3-1Confirmed

37R. CanutDEF
4L. BinksDEF
2O. VilladsenDEF
24M. DivkovićDEF
51O. FengerFWD
1P. PentzGK
21M. YounisMID
29M. Frøkjær-JensenMID
19S. FukudaMID
99B. SliszMID
18M. EjdumMID
27M. KöhlertDEF
3Christopher OlivierDEF
30J. VanlerbergheDEF
7O. HyseniFWD
11F. BundgaardFWD
9P. MortensenFWD
50W. Sonne SchmidGK
10D. WassMID
15C. WintherMID

Randers FC4-2-3-1Confirmed

24S. HansenDEF
44N. DyhrDEF
27N. HoplandDEF
3D. HøeghDEF
77K. JunkerFWD
1P. IzzoGK
15M. SjølstadMID
17M. GreveMID
7M. ThemsenMID
8L. PedersenMID
11E. MahmoudMID
29S. StukerDEF
5O. JonesDEF
30M. SankohFWD
33C. EdudziFWD
32J. StorchGK
6J. BjörkengrenMID
25O. SeckMID
53M. NielsenMID
26H. HoyrupMID

Unavailable Players

7 players

Brondby2

F. Alves
Missing FixtureInactive
J. Ambaek
Missing FixtureInjury

Randers FC5

A. Henriksson
Missing FixtureRed Card
B. Orn
Missing FixtureInjury
F. Lauenborg
Missing FixtureInactive
L. Lissens
Missing FixtureInjury
W. Caddy
Missing FixtureInjury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.57 (58.7%)
Both Teams Score1.65 (57.5%)
Value Bets
Brondby Win1.52 (54.7%)
Randers FC Win5.36 (25.7%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.33 (41.3%)
BTTS No2.10 (42.5%)
Speculative
Draw4.31 (19.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Brondby have averaged 5.6 corners per match at home; Randers FC 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Brondby have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brondby player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.