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BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction, Tips & Odds

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893

Super LeagueRegular Season - 5
BSC Young Boys
#1 · Super League
WDWWW
VS
Stadion Wankdorf, Bern (31,700)
FC Basel 1893
#3 · Super League
WLWWL

Match Preview

The model favours BSC Young Boys to win against FC Basel 1893, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Currently positioned second in the league, Young Boys have made a strong start to the season with two wins and one draw from their first three matches. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 12 goals while conceding only 4, which contributes to an impressive goal difference of +8. In contrast, FC Basel sits in fifth place with two wins and one loss, accumulating 6 points from their three games. While they have managed to score 5 goals, their defensive record is solid as well, with only 3 goals conceded. However, they will need to improve their consistency to challenge for a higher position in the standings. The model suggests a win probability of 62% for Young Boys, indicating a strong likelihood of their success in this matchup. However, a key caveat is that any lapses in their defensive organization could allow Basel to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team remains committed to providing data-driven insights for every match.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (BSC Young Boys leads 5-3)
5 BSC Young Boys2 Draw3 FC Basel 1893
04 Apr
FC Basel 1893
3-3
BSC Young Boys
Super League
Nov 25
BSC Young Boys
0-0
FC Basel 1893
Super League
Aug 25
FC Basel 1893
4-1
BSC Young Boys
Super League
May 25
BSC Young Boys
6-2
FC Basel 1893
Super League
Mar 25
FC Basel 1893
1-2
BSC Young Boys
Super League
Oct 24
BSC Young Boys
3-2
FC Basel 1893
Super League
Oct 24
FC Basel 1893
1-0
BSC Young Boys
Super League
Mar 24
BSC Young Boys
5-1
FC Basel 1893
Super League
Jan 24
FC Basel 1893
1-0
BSC Young Boys
Super League
Oct 23
BSC Young Boys
3-0
FC Basel 1893
Super League

In the last 10 matches between BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893, BSC Young Boys have won 5 times, FC Basel 1893 have won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive and one-sided games, with several high-scoring encounters, including a notable 6-2 win for Young Boys and a 4-1 victory for Basel. The presence of two draws and multiple narrow victories suggests that while Young Boys have a slight edge, the matches are often closely contested. Basel's last win in this fixture was over a year ago, highlighting a recent trend of Young Boys' dominance.

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
BSC Young Boys
43101661010
WDWW
2
FC Lugano
330011299
WWW
3
FC Basel 1893
43017439
WWLW
4
FC ST. Gallen
32107527
DWW
5
FC Sion
32018626
WWL
6
Lausanne
41214405
LDWD
10
FC Zurich
4103410-63
LLWL
11
Grasshoppers
301237-41
LLD
12
FC Vaduz
4004712-50
LLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
BSC Young BoysHome
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 8 · GA 43.00 pts/game
FC Basel 1893Away
2W0D0L
2 playedGF 3 · GA 13.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893
2.63Goals p.g.1.5
1.41Goals conceded p.g.1.9
33%Clean sheets17%
48%Win rate37%
4.04Avg goals in match3.4
2.35xG per game1.38
0.06xGA per game-0.28
52%Possession %52%
7.9Shots on target / game5.1
4.2Corners per game5.0
BSC Young Boys
Recent Form

BSC Young Boys have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat BSC Young Boys 4-2 and beat BSC Young Boys 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 7L from the last 27 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BSC Young BoysAll competitions
15 Aug
Liestal
0-4
BSC Young Boys
Schweizer Cup
08 Aug
Lausanne
2-2
BSC Young Boys
Super League
01 Aug
FC Thun
0-6
BSC Young Boys
Super League
26 Jul
BSC Young Boys
4-2
FC Sion
Super League
18 Jul
BSC Young Boys
5-0
Étoile Carouge
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Plzen
3-5
BSC Young Boys
Friendlies Clubs
13
Win
48%
7
Draw
26%
7
Lost
26%
FC Basel 1893
Recent Form

FC Basel 1893 have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Basel 1893 1-2 and beat Courtételle 1-6.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 15L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: FC Basel 1893All competitions
22 Aug
FC Zurich
1-2
FC Basel 1893
Super League
16 Aug
FC Basel 1893
2-5
Barcelona
Friendlies Clubs
15 Aug
Courtételle
1-6
FC Basel 1893
Schweizer Cup
09 Aug
FC Basel 1893
4-2
FC Thun
Super League
01 Aug
FC Basel 1893
0-1
Lausanne
Super League
25 Jul
Servette FC
0-1
FC Basel 1893
Super League
11
Win
37%
4
Draw
13%
15
Lost
50%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

BSC Young Boys

No reported absences

FC Basel 1893

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.