FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun
Match Preview
The model favours FC St. Gallen to win against FC Thun, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. St. Gallen currently sits in 3rd place in the Super League standings, having secured 7 points from their opening three matches. They have shown strong form, with 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 7 goals while conceding 5. Their positive goal difference of 2 reflects their attacking prowess and competitive edge early in the season. In contrast, FC Thun is positioned 9th, with just 3 points from their first three games. Their record includes 1 win and 2 losses, with a concerning goal difference of -6, as they have conceded 11 goals while only managing to score 5. This defensive vulnerability could be a significant factor in the upcoming match, especially against a team like St. Gallen that has been effective in front of goal. The model indicates a win probability of 62% for FC St. Gallen, suggesting they are the clear favourites for this fixture. However, a potential caveat is St. Gallen's relatively high goals conceded, which could open the door for Thun to exploit any defensive lapses. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC ST. Gallen leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between FC St. Gallen and FC Thun, FC St. Gallen has won 4 times, FC Thun has also claimed 3 victories, while 3 matches ended in a draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close encounters, including four matches that finished with a margin of just one goal. Notably, there have been two high-scoring draws (2-2 and 3-3), suggesting both teams can produce attacking performances. The most recent win for FC Thun came in October 2025, highlighting a balanced contest with no team dominating the recent history.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BSC Young Boys | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  FC Basel 1893 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WWLW |
| 4 | FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | WWL |
| 6 |  Lausanne | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LDWD |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLW |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 | LLWL |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 12 |  FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC ST. Gallen have won 9 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC ST. Gallen 5-1 and drew with FC ST. Gallen 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 10D 5L from the last 34 games (56% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Thun have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Thun 7-0 and beat Saxon Sports 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 12L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC ST. Gallen
No reported absences
FC Thun
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
