Cagliari vs Juventus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Cagliari vs Juventus
Match Preview
The model favours Juventus to win this matchup against Cagliari, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Juventus currently sits in 7th place in Serie A with 10 points from 5 matches, having secured three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their offensive output has been solid, with 8 goals scored and only 4 conceded, highlighting a positive goal difference of 4. This season, Juventus has shown resilience, particularly in their last five matches, where they have managed to win three times. Cagliari, on the other hand, is performing well and currently ranks 4th in the league with 12 points from 5 matches. Their record includes four wins and just one loss, resulting in a goal difference of 3 after scoring 5 goals and allowing only 2. However, their recent form features a mixed bag, with three wins followed by two losses in their last five matches, indicating some inconsistency that could be a concern moving forward. The model gives Juventus a win probability of 60.3%, with Cagliari at 15.8% and the draw at 23.9%. While Juventus is favoured, Cagliari's strong start to the season means they cannot be overlooked. An injury or late tactical change could sway the match in favour of Cagliari. For a detailed explanation of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the in-house model evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Cagliari have kept a clean sheet in 39% of matches. Juventus average 1.6 goals per game.
Cagliari manage games at home, conceding just 1.10 goals per match. Juventus score 1.56 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Juventus have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Juventus win as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Juventus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Cagliari vs Juventus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.05 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.88 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 6.06 | 4.04 | 1.55 | 1.96 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 | — | — | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 6.25 | 3.70 | 1.57 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 6.23 | 4.22 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.95 | 1.78 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Juventus leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Cagliari and Juventus, Juventus has won 7 times, Cagliari has won once, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Juventus achieving several convincing victories, including a 4-0 win in the Coppa Italia. Cagliari's sole victory came recently in January 2026, but prior to that, they had struggled against Juventus, often losing by narrow margins or failing to score. The outcomes suggest that Juventus has dominated this rivalry, particularly in recent years.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCagliari have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Cagliari 1-0 and lost to Cagliari 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 11L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Juventus have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sassuolo 3-2 and beat Frosinone 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 8L from the last 32 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCagliari
No reported absences
Juventus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Cagliari have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Juventus 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Juventus have generated 1.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Juventus player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
