CF Montreal vs New England Revolution Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Montreal vs New England Revolution
Match Preview
The model favours New England Revolution to win against CF Montreal, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. New England currently sits in 4th place in the league, showcasing a solid season with 8 wins from 14 matches. Their goal differential of +4, with 22 goals scored and only 18 conceded, highlights their effectiveness in both attacking and defensive phases. Recent form has been promising, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a team that is finding its rhythm. On the other hand, CF Montreal is struggling in 11th place, with only 15 points from 15 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, as evidenced by their goal difference of -9, having scored 22 goals but conceded 31. While they have managed to secure two wins in their last five outings, their overall performance has not been enough to lift them from the lower half of the table. The model's output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for New England Revolution, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is Montreal's potential for an upset, especially playing at home where they could leverage crowd support. The full method used for this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CF Montreal leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between CF Montreal and New England Revolution, CF Montreal has won 5 times, New England Revolution has won 4 times, with 1 match ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with both teams achieving narrow victories as well as some heavy wins; notably, New England Revolution secured a 5-0 win and a 4-0 win, while CF Montreal also recorded a 4-0 victory. The presence of multiple high-scoring matches suggests a competitive rivalry, although CF Montreal has been slightly more successful in recent encounters.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 | DLWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 | LDWDL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 33 | LDLWL |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 16 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Montreal have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with New England Revolution 2-2 and lost to Inter Miami 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 5D 14L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
New England Revolution have won 1 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with CF Montreal 2-2 and lost to Charlotte 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 10L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed
New England Revolution4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersCF Montreal5
New England Revolution5
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
