CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro
Match Preview
The model favours CF Pachuca to win the match against Club Queretaro, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Pachuca's recent form is strong, with four wins in their last five matches, indicating a robust attacking and defensive setup. While specific season standings and stats are not available, their recent performance suggests they are in good shape as they head into this fixture. On the other hand, Club Queretaro has also demonstrated solid form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This resilience could prove challenging for Pachuca, as they are likely to put up a strong fight. However, their overall consistency and ability to convert chances may need improvement to compete effectively against a team like Pachuca. The model gives Pachuca a win probability of 59.2%, with a 23.3% chance of a draw and a 17.5% chance for Queretaro to win. Additionally, there is a 54.1% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. One caveat to consider is that if Pachuca's defense falters, they could struggle against Queretaro’s ability to counterattack. For more details on our analytical process, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 CF Pachuca win as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature CF Pachuca clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Pachuca vs Club Queretaro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.56 | 4.00 | 5.60 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.56 | 3.84 | 5.65 | 1.67 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 1.99 | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.58 | 3.92 | 6.32 | 1.71 | 2.21 | — | — | |
| 1.52 | 3.95 | 5.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.55 | 3.60 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.53 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.58 | 3.84 | 5.57 | 1.67 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 2.02 | |
| 1.47 | 4.20 | 6.25 | 1.62 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.90 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 1.57 | 4.15 | 5.15 | 1.66 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.25 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CF Pachuca leads 4-2)In the last ten matches between CF Pachuca and Club Queretaro, CF Pachuca has won four times, drawn four times, and Club Queretaro has won twice. This record indicates a relatively balanced rivalry, with a notable frequency of draws, occurring in 40% of the encounters. The scorelines suggest that while there have been tight contests, such as the 0-0 and 1-1 draws, Pachuca has also secured some heavier wins, including a 2-0 victory. Club Queretaro's last win came in September 2025, highlighting a recent struggle against Pachuca.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Club Tijuana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Toluca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Monterrey | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Atlas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14 | Club Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 16 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 17 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 18 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Pachuca have won 9 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat CF Pachuca 3-1 and beat CF Pachuca 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 5L from the last 23 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Club Queretaro have won 3 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Club Queretaro 0-1 and beat Reboceros La Piedad 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 5L from the last 20 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCF Pachuca
No reported absences
Club Queretaro
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
CF Pachuca have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 6.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 61% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
