Today's top picks and bookie offers, free on TelegramToday's top picks, free on TelegramJoin

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert Prediction, Tips & Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
CFR 1907 Cluj
WDLLW
2 - 0
Referee: V. Thorarinsson
Alashkert
DDDLW
★ OUR PICK
CFR 1907 Cluj to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over Alashkert make CFR 1907 Cluj the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.67
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.60 (implied 62.5%) for CFR 1907 Cluj to Win. Our experts calculate a 65.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.54). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.0% vs 62.5%), driven by CFR 1907 Cluj's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours CFR 1907 Cluj to win against Alashkert, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Cluj has displayed solid form this season, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. This consistency suggests a resilient side that can manage pressure, especially in critical knockout stages like the UEFA Europa Conference League. On the other hand, Alashkert has shown a mixed bag of results, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have found some success, their inability to secure consistent victories could hinder their chances in this away fixture. Their form indicates potential vulnerabilities, particularly against a team like Cluj which has greater stability. The model output indicates a favourable win probability for Cluj, although specifics are not provided. One caveat to consider is that if Cluj struggles to convert chances or if Alashkert manages to catch them off-guard with a strong counter-attack, the match could swing in an unexpected direction. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction method, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season to inform these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
CFR 1907 Cluj Win55%1.60
Draw22%3.91
Alashkert Win24%4.91
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7150.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
2.0951.4%

CFR 1907 Cluj manage games at home, conceding just 0.77 goals per match. Alashkert score 1.50 on the road.

Correct Score
CFR 1907 Cluj 1-1 Alashkert
6.8414.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
CFR 1907 Cluj -0.5
1.5849%

CFR 1907 Cluj have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.84
14.8%
1-0
6.87
14.7%
2-1
7.27
13.9%
2-0
7.34
13.8%
0-0
11.04
9.3%
3-1
11.08
9.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature CFR 1907 Cluj clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.0
1.23
Alashkert
+0.0
3.67
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.5
1.58
Alashkert
+0.5
4.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
-1.5
2.75
Alashkert
+1.5
10.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. CFR 1907 Cluj are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Alashkert
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.613.804.801.702.101.672.00
Marathonbet
1.603.925.051.702.091.702.01
Betfair
1.553.905.001.652.101.732.00
Pinnacle
1.603.994.591.562.09
SBO
1.453.725.321.602.21
William Hill
1.623.754.801.672.10
Bet365
1.624.004.501.802.001.831.83
1xBet
1.664.085.171.702.211.672.08
Unibet
1.573.855.401.711.971.761.92
Betano
1.673.904.701.702.101.702.05
Superbet
1.654.004.601.652.101.702.02
BetVictor
1.604.005.001.652.061.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.8%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
48.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
34.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCFR 1907 Cluj or Draw
76%1.14
12CFR 1907 Cluj or Alashkert
79%1.21
X2Draw or Alashkert
46%2.22

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (CFR 1907 Cluj leads 2-0)
2 CFR 1907 Cluj0 Draw0 Alashkert
Aug 18
CFR 1907 Cluj
5-0
Alashkert
UEFA Europa League
Aug 18
Alashkert
0-2
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa League

CFR 1907 Cluj has won both of their past encounters against Alashkert, with a record of 2 wins and 0 draws. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by Cluj, winning 5-0 in one match and 2-0 in the other. This suggests that Cluj has not only secured victories but has done so with a significant goal difference, highlighting their offensive strength and defensive solidity in these matchups. Alashkert has not managed to score against Cluj in these fixtures, reflecting a clear advantage for Cluj in head-to-head history.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CFR 1907 ClujAlashkert
1.23Goals p.g.1.5
0.77Goals conceded p.g.0.93
38%Clean sheets21%
38%Win rate43%
2Avg goals in match2.43
1.46xG per game
44%Possession %
3.0Shots on target / game
5.0Corners per game
CFR 1907 Cluj
Recent Form

CFR 1907 Cluj have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Voluntari 5-0 and lost to Gloria Bistriţa 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 6D 2L from the last 13 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CFR 1907 ClujAll competitions
27 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
5-0
FC Voluntari
Liga I
23 Jul
Alashkert
1-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Oţelul
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
14 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-2
Gloria Bistriţa
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-0
Karpaty
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-1
FC Noah
Friendlies Clubs
5
Win
38%
6
Draw
46%
2
Lost
15%
Alashkert
Recent Form

Alashkert have won 3 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Yelimay Semey 1-1 and lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 2L from the last 14 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AlashkertAll competitions
23 Jul
Alashkert
1-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Yelimay Semey
1-1
Alashkert
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Alashkert
1-1
Yelimay Semey
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jun
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1-0
Alashkert
Friendlies Clubs
26 May
Alashkert
2-0
Shirak
Premier League
16 May
Van
0-1
Alashkert
Premier League
6
Win
43%
6
Draw
43%
2
Lost
14%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

CFR 1907 Cluj

No reported absences

Alashkert

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
CFR 1907 Cluj Win1.60 (54.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.67 (48.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.09 (51.4%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (50.3%)
BTTS No2.01 (49.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.91 (21.5%)
Alashkert Win4.91 (24%)

Yellow Card Prediction

V. Thorarinsson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by V. Thorarinsson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

CFR 1907 Cluj average 1.2 goals per match at home; Alashkert 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

CFR 1907 Cluj have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CFR 1907 Cluj player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
CFR 1907 Cluj to Win

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.