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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso Prediction, Tips & Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
CFR 1907 Cluj
WWDLL
0 - 5
Referee: P. Kolaric
Tromso
LWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.81
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 (implied 56.8%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 59.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.68). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.3% vs 56.8%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours CFR 1907 Cluj to win against Tromso, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. CFR Cluj has shown a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Despite this inconsistency, they have a strong home advantage that could play a crucial role in this fixture. On the other hand, Tromso has rebounded well, securing three wins in their last five matches following two losses. This upward trend in form suggests they are gaining momentum, which could make them a formidable opponent. However, their previous results indicate some vulnerability, particularly when playing away. The model output indicates a win probability favouring CFR Cluj, reflecting their home advantage and overall stronger season performance. While the model supports a Cluj victory, a potential caveat is their recent inconsistency, which could open the door for Tromso to capitalize if they can maintain their recent form. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season to inform these predictions.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
CFR 1907 Cluj Win38%2.96
Draw24%3.20
Tromso Win37%2.28
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7751.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7654.2%

CFR 1907 Cluj manage games at home, conceding just 0.71 goals per match. Tromso score 1.79 on the road.

Correct Score
CFR 1907 Cluj 1-1 Tromso
5.6817.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
CFR 1907 Cluj -0.5
2.8032%

CFR 1907 Cluj have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.68
17.8%
0-1
6.94
14.5%
1-0
8.13
12.5%
1-2
8.32
12.1%
0-0
8.54
11.8%
2-1
9.68
10.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.0
2.21
Tromso
+0.0
1.63
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.3
2.55
Tromso
+0.3
1.95
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.5
2.80
Tromso
+0.5
2.25
CFR 1907 Cluj
-1.5
6.50
Tromso
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. CFR 1907 Cluj are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.863.302.282.001.751.751.90
Marathonbet
3.123.242.222.001.771.761.93
Betfair
2.883.102.252.001.731.801.95
Pinnacle
3.153.272.202.031.80
SBO
2.472.922.35
William Hill
3.003.102.301.751.95
Bet365
2.803.252.202.051.751.831.83
1xBet
3.243.362.302.041.811.761.96
Unibet
2.953.152.382.001.681.761.92
888Sport
3.003.102.251.911.801.751.95
Betano
3.053.252.302.051.751.781.93
Superbet
3.003.252.321.951.761.771.95
BetVictor
3.003.302.301.931.751.731.95

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
45.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCFR 1907 Cluj or Draw
63%1.54
12CFR 1907 Cluj or Tromso
76%1.30
X2Draw or Tromso
62%1.36

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Tromso leads 1-0)
0 CFR 1907 Cluj0 Draw1 Tromso
06 Aug
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-3
Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only past meeting, Tromso defeated CFR 1907 Cluj with a score of 3-0. This one-sided result highlights Tromso's dominance in that match, as they secured a convincing victory without conceding any goals. With only a single fixture in their head-to-head history, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the clear win for Tromso suggests they have the upper hand in this matchup. CFR 1907 Cluj has not yet recorded a win against Tromso, marking a challenging historical context for them in future encounters.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CFR 1907 ClujTromso
1.36Goals p.g.1.79
0.71Goals conceded p.g.1.03
43%Clean sheets45%
43%Win rate58%
2.07Avg goals in match2.82
1.46xG per game1.38
xGA per game-0.40
44%Possession %49%
3.0Shots on target / game5.0
5.0Corners per game4.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
Recent Form

CFR 1907 Cluj have won 4 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Alashkert 3-0 and beat FC Voluntari 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 2L from the last 14 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CFR 1907 ClujAll competitions
30 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
3-0
Alashkert
UEFA Europa Conference League
27 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
5-0
FC Voluntari
Liga I
23 Jul
Alashkert
1-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Oţelul
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
14 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-2
Gloria Bistriţa
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-0
Karpaty
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
43%
6
Draw
43%
2
Lost
14%
Tromso
Recent Form

Tromso have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tromso 3-2 and beat CFR 1907 Cluj 0-5.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 8L from the last 33 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TromsoAll competitions
16 Aug
Molde
3-2
Tromso
Eliteserien
13 Aug
Tromso
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-5
Tromso
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Aalesund
2-6
Tromso
Eliteserien
30 Jul
Hradec Králové
3-1
Tromso
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Tromso
0-1
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
19
Win
58%
6
Draw
18%
8
Lost
24%

Lineups

Confirmed

CFR 1907 Cluj4-3-3Confirmed

45Mário CamoraDEF
42Renato PantalonDEF
47Christopher BraunDEF
3Aly AbeidDEF
9Stefan DražićFWD
7Meriton KorenicaFWD
99André MoreiraGK
11Andrei CordeaMID
8Alin FicăMID
73Karlo MuharMID
28Bruno CostaMID
14Simão RochaDEF
77Andres ȘfaițFWD
17Lorenzo BilibocFWD
98Nicolae SulaFWD
1Rareș GalGK
31Octavian VâlceanuGK
6Ovidiu PerianuMID
26Răzvan GligorMID
10Adrian PăunMID
80Cosmin MateiMID
88Damjan ĐokovićMID
5Francisco BarriosMID

Tromso5-3-2Confirmed

4Vetle SkjaervikDEF
3Mathias TonnessenDEF
29Alexander WarnerydDEF
30Isak VadebuDEF
7Lars Olden LarsenFWD
22Heine Asen LarsenFWD
1Jakob HaugaardGK
17Isak DahlqvistMID
11Ruben JenssenMID
10Troy NyhammerMID
5David EdvardssonMID
21Leon HienDEF
25Casper ÖyvannDEF
27Mads MikkelsenDEF
9Daniel BrautFWD
20Ieltsin CamõesFWD
19Aleksander Lilletun ElvebuFWD
12Ole LauvliGK
32Abderrahmane SarrGK
37Sander InnværMID
8Jesper Andreas GrundtMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

CFR 1907 Cluj

No reported absences

Tromso

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
CFR 1907 Cluj Win2.96 (38.2%)
Tromso Win2.28 (37.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.00 (45.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.76 (54.2%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (51.2%)
BTTS No1.93 (48.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.20 (24.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

P. Kolaric has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by P. Kolaric to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

CFR 1907 Cluj have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Tromso 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

CFR 1907 Cluj have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CFR 1907 Cluj player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.