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CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso Prediction, Tips & Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
CFR 1907 Cluj
WWDLL
VS
Tromso
WLLWW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.0%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 60.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.65). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.5% vs 58.0%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours CFR 1907 Cluj to win against Tromso, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. CFR Cluj has shown a mixed form recently, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Despite this inconsistency, they have a strong home advantage that could play a crucial role in this fixture. On the other hand, Tromso has rebounded well, securing three wins in their last five matches following two losses. This upward trend in form suggests they are gaining momentum, which could make them a formidable opponent. However, their previous results indicate some vulnerability, particularly when playing away. The model output indicates a win probability favouring CFR Cluj, reflecting their home advantage and overall stronger season performance. While the model supports a Cluj victory, a potential caveat is their recent inconsistency, which could open the door for Tromso to capitalize if they can maintain their recent form. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season to inform these predictions.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
CFR 1907 Cluj Win41%2.67
Draw25%3.19
Tromso Win34%2.59
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7950.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7255.9%

CFR 1907 Cluj manage games at home, conceding just 0.71 goals per match. Tromso score 1.67 on the road.

Correct Score
CFR 1907 Cluj 1-1 Tromso
5.4818.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
CFR 1907 Cluj -0.3
2.2035%

CFR 1907 Cluj have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.48
18.4%
0-1
7.00
14.4%
1-0
7.22
13.9%
0-0
7.88
12.7%
1-2
8.60
11.8%
2-1
8.77
11.5%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.0
1.90
Tromso
+0.0
1.86
CFR 1907 Cluj
-0.3
2.20
Tromso
+0.3
2.27
CFR 1907 Cluj
-1.5
6.00
Tromso
+1.5
5.50

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. CFR 1907 Cluj are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Tromso
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.563.252.562.101.701.801.85
Marathonbet
2.653.182.592.061.721.781.90
Betfair
2.803.102.40
1xBet
2.743.292.682.111.761.781.93
Betano
2.623.152.702.071.721.781.93

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
69.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
25.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCFR 1907 Cluj or Draw
66%1.48
12CFR 1907 Cluj or Tromso
75%1.31
X2Draw or Tromso
59%1.45

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CFR 1907 ClujTromso
1.36Goals p.g.1.67
0.71Goals conceded p.g.1
43%Clean sheets47%
43%Win rate57%
2.07Avg goals in match2.67
1.46xG per game1.32
xGA per game-0.19
44%Possession %49%
3.0Shots on target / game5.0
5.0Corners per game4.7
CFR 1907 Cluj
Recent Form

CFR 1907 Cluj have won 4 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Alashkert 3-0 and beat FC Voluntari 5-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 6D 2L from the last 14 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CFR 1907 ClujAll competitions
30 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
3-0
Alashkert
UEFA Europa Conference League
27 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
5-0
FC Voluntari
Liga I
23 Jul
Alashkert
1-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Oţelul
2-1
CFR 1907 Cluj
Liga I
14 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0-2
Gloria Bistriţa
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
CFR 1907 Cluj
1-0
Karpaty
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
43%
6
Draw
43%
2
Lost
14%
Tromso
Recent Form

Tromso have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tromso 2-6 and lost to Hradec Králové 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 7L from the last 30 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: TromsoAll competitions
02 Aug
Aalesund
2-6
Tromso
Eliteserien
30 Jul
Hradec Králové
3-1
Tromso
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Tromso
0-1
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1-4
Tromso
Eliteserien
11 Jul
Tromso
4-0
Valerenga
Eliteserien
25 Jun
Tromso
4-1
Orgryte IS
Friendlies Clubs
17
Win
57%
6
Draw
20%
7
Lost
23%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

CFR 1907 Cluj

No reported absences

Tromso

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.72 (55.9%)
Value Bets
CFR 1907 Cluj Win2.67 (41%)
Tromso Win2.59 (34.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.08 (44.1%)
Both Teams Score1.79 (50.2%)
BTTS No1.90 (49.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.19 (24.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

CFR 1907 Cluj have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Tromso 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

CFR 1907 Cluj have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CFR 1907 Cluj player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.