Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro Prediction, Tips & Odds
Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro
Match Preview
The model favours Club Tijuana to win this match against Club Queretaro, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Club Tijuana currently sits in second place in the Liga MX standings, having secured 13 points from six matches with four wins, one draw, and one loss. Their goal-scoring record stands at 10 goals while conceding 7, resulting in a positive goal difference of 3. Despite a mixed recent form with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, their overall performance this season suggests they are strong contenders. On the other hand, Club Queretaro is positioned 11th in the league with 7 points from five matches, comprising two wins, one draw, and two losses. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 6, which leaves them with a neutral goal difference. Their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, resulting in three losses and two draws. This lack of momentum could hinder their ability to challenge a more in-form opponent like Tijuana. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Club Tijuana, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that Tijuana's recent inconsistency could lead to an unexpected result if they fail to convert their chances. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Club Tijuana manage games at home, conceding just 1.18 goals per match. Club Queretaro score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.0% probability.
Club Tijuana have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Club Tijuana clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Club Tijuana are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.06 | 3.55 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.03 | 3.25 | 3.58 | 1.83 | 1.93 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 2.09 | 3.40 | 3.82 | 1.87 | 2.02 | — | — | |
| 2.04 | 3.23 | 3.23 | 1.84 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.59 | 1.81 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.11 | |
| 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.45 | 1.76 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.65 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
Superbet | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.83 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Club Tijuana leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Club Tijuana and Club Queretaro, Club Tijuana has won 5 times, Club Queretaro has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches; only one match ended in a draw, and the majority of victories have been by narrow margins. Notably, Club Queretaro's last win was in October 2023, suggesting that recent encounters have seen a slight advantage for Club Tijuana. Overall, the head-to-head record reflects a balanced matchup with no team dominating significantly over the other.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonClub Tijuana have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Club Queretaro 0-1 and beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 9L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Club Queretaro have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Club Queretaro 0-1 and beat Atlas 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 9L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedClub Tijuana4-1-4-1Confirmed
Club Queretaro4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersClub Tijuana
No reported absences
Club Queretaro
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Club Tijuana have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Club Queretaro 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Club Tijuana have generated 1.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club Tijuana player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
