Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Prediction, Tips & Odds
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich
Match Preview
The model favours Ipswich to win this match against Crystal Palace, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Ipswich currently sits in 9th position in the Premier League after a strong start to the season, winning their only match played so far. Their early-season form reflects a solid attack, having scored two goals while conceding just one, which gives them a positive goal difference of one. This early success is promising as they look to build momentum. In contrast, Crystal Palace finds itself at the bottom of the standings in 19th place, having lost both of their opening matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding six goals while only managing to score once, resulting in a goal difference of minus five. Their recent form, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, indicates ongoing difficulties that they will need to address quickly. The model gives Ipswich a win probability of 65%, while Crystal Palace has a mere 15% chance to secure a victory. One caveat for this prediction is the potential for Crystal Palace to turn their form around at home, where they may perform better than their current standings suggest. For a deeper understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Crystal Palace have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Crystal Palace clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Crystal Palace are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.87 | 3.55 | 3.95 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.90 | 3.88 | 4.05 | 1.73 | 2.13 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.30 | |
| 1.91 | 3.86 | 4.07 | 1.75 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 1.87 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.73 | 2.17 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.10 | |
| 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.93 | 3.94 | 4.11 | 1.78 | 2.20 | 1.63 | 2.17 | |
| 1.90 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 1.94 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.92 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Crystal Palace leads 7-1)In the last nine encounters between Crystal Palace and Ipswich, Crystal Palace has won seven times, with one draw and one victory for Ipswich. The scorelines suggest a strong advantage for Crystal Palace, as they have frequently secured narrow wins, with only two matches featuring a margin of more than one goal. Ipswich's lone win came in 2013, indicating a significant gap in success in recent years. The matches have often been low-scoring, and the overall dominance of Crystal Palace is evident in their consistent ability to outpace Ipswich in these fixtures.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCrystal Palace have won 10 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Bristol City 0-2 and beat Lech Poznan 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 9D 16L from the last 40 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Ipswich have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Ipswich 1-0 and beat Crystal Palace 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 9L from the last 32 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCrystal Palace3-4-2-1Confirmed
Ipswich4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
5 playersCrystal Palace4
Ipswich1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Crystal Palace have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Ipswich 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Crystal Palace have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Crystal Palace player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
