DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction, Tips & Odds
DC United vs Nashville SC
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nashville currently sits at the top of the league table, demonstrating remarkable form with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss from 15 matches. Their goal difference of +21 highlights their strong attacking prowess, having scored 32 goals while conceding just 11. This consistent performance positions them as clear title contenders as they continue to dominate the league. On the other hand, DC United finds themselves in 9th place, having secured only 4 wins from their 15 matches. With a total of 18 points, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses indicates a struggle to find consistency. They have managed to score 21 goals but have conceded 25, resulting in a negative goal difference. Their recent form, showing just 1 win in their last 5 matches, further complicates their chances against a formidable Nashville side. The model assigns Nashville a strong win probability, reflecting their superior position and recent form. However, DC United could pose a challenge if they manage to convert their opportunities into goals, especially at home. The full methodology of this prediction, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
DC United vs Nashville SC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.92 | 3.45 | 2.28 | 1.83 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.92 | 3.44 | 2.28 | 1.84 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.08 | |
| 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 2.98 | 3.52 | 2.33 | 1.86 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.35 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.35 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nashville SC leads 5-2)Nashville SC hold the edge in this fixture, winning 5 of the last 10 meetings with 3 draws and 2 DC United wins. The record points to a tie Nashville SC have controlled for years, though the draws show DC United have at times kept it tight.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 32 | LWLWD |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 32 | LWLLD |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 30 | WWWLL |
| 9 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 19 | DDDLD |
| 14 |  Austin | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 17 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 10 | WLDLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 14 | WLLWW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDC United have won 2 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with CF Montreal 4-4 and drew with St. Louis City 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 10D 8L from the last 22 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Nashville SC have won 6 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat New England Revolution 0-3 and lost to Tigres UANL 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 4L from the last 26 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDC United
No reported absences
Nashville SC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
DC United have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Nashville SC 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 0.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
