DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction, Tips & Odds
DC United vs Nashville SC
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nashville currently sits at the top of the league table, demonstrating remarkable form with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss from 15 matches. Their goal difference of +21 highlights their strong attacking prowess, having scored 32 goals while conceding just 11. This consistent performance positions them as clear title contenders as they continue to dominate the league. On the other hand, DC United finds themselves in 9th place, having secured only 4 wins from their 15 matches. With a total of 18 points, their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses indicates a struggle to find consistency. They have managed to score 21 goals but have conceded 25, resulting in a negative goal difference. Their recent form, showing just 1 win in their last 5 matches, further complicates their chances against a formidable Nashville side. The model assigns Nashville a strong win probability, reflecting their superior position and recent form. However, DC United could pose a challenge if they manage to convert their opportunities into goals, especially at home. The full methodology of this prediction, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
DC United manage games at home, conceding just 1.72 goals per match. Nashville SC score 1.60 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.
Nashville SC have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Nashville SC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
DC United vs Nashville SC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.78 | 3.40 | 2.40 | 1.85 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.88 | 3.38 | 2.33 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.41 | 1.92 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.23 | 2.36 | 1.93 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.75 | 3.70 | 2.38 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.33 | 1.90 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.05 | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 2.90 | 3.45 | 2.40 | 1.88 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Superbet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.37 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.69 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.82 | 1.84 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Nashville SC leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between DC United and Nashville SC, Nashville SC has won 5 times, DC United has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Nashville to dominate, with several high-scoring matches, including a notable 5-2 victory over DC United in the US Open Cup. While there have been some close encounters, such as the 0-0 draws and a 1-1 tie, Nashville's victories often come with comfortable margins, suggesting they have had the upper hand in recent encounters. The last win for DC United against Nashville was in 2024, indicating a challenging matchup for them.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 | DLWWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 | DDLWL |
| 2 |  Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 38 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 30 | LDWDL |
| 3 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 33 | LDLWL |
| 9 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 23 | DWDDD |
| 14 |  CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 16 | DLLDD |
| 15 |  Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 14 | LLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDC United have won 3 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Nashville SC 2-2 and beat Toronto FC 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 12D 8L from the last 25 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Nashville SC have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with DC United 2-2 and lost to Orlando City SC 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 6L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersDC United3
Nashville SC5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
R. Montero has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
DC United have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Nashville SC 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Nashville SC have generated 0.96 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Nashville SC player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
