Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan Prediction, Tips & Odds

Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Debreceni VSC
WLDWL
1 - 0
Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Referee: J. Karlsen
Pyunik Yerevan
WWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.76 (implied 56.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 59.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.68). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.4% vs 56.9%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Pyunik Yerevan to win the match against Debreceni VSC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Pyunik enters this fixture with a stronger recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches, including two consecutive victories. Their overall performance suggests a side that is currently more confident and effective in front of goal. Debreceni VSC, on the other hand, has had a mixed run with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could pose challenges, especially against a side like Pyunik that is finding its rhythm. Debreceni's ability to bounce back from recent setbacks will be crucial if they aim to compete effectively in this matchup. The model indicates a win probability of around 60% for Pyunik, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage to note is that there is a 45% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. However, a potential pitfall for Pyunik could be complacency after their recent successes, which might allow Debreceni to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a deeper understanding of how these predictions are formed, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Debreceni VSC Win48%1.79
Draw23%3.40
Pyunik Yerevan Win29%4.17
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.8351.5%

Debreceni VSC have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches. Pyunik Yerevan average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7655.1%

Debreceni VSC manage games at home, conceding just 1.40 goals per match. Pyunik Yerevan score 1.27 on the road.

Correct Score
Debreceni VSC 1-0 Pyunik Yerevan
5.9017.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Debreceni VSC -0.5
1.7442%

Debreceni VSC have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.90
17.0%
1-1
6.06
16.7%
2-1
7.41
13.7%
2-0
7.57
13.3%
0-0
8.39
12.1%
0-1
9.93
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-0 Debreceni VSC win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Debreceni VSC clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Debreceni VSC
-0.0
1.31
Pyunik Yerevan
+0.0
3.12
Debreceni VSC
-0.5
1.74
Pyunik Yerevan
+0.5
4.00
Debreceni VSC
-1.5
3.75
Pyunik Yerevan
+1.5
9.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Debreceni VSC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Debreceni VSC vs Pyunik Yerevan
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.823.404.001.951.801.801.83
Marathonbet
1.783.424.452.011.761.861.82
Betfair
1.873.203.802.001.731.831.91
Pinnacle
1.793.474.332.031.78
SBO
1.673.183.881.981.78
William Hill
1.853.204.201.911.83
Bet365
1.733.603.902.001.801.911.80
1xBet
1.803.424.442.011.761.861.84
Unibet
1.783.454.352.021.681.901.78
Betano
1.823.504.102.001.751.881.82
Superbet
1.783.504.251.951.771.871.83
BetVictor
1.803.504.401.971.721.871.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
70.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.9%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XDebreceni VSC or Draw
71%1.19
12Debreceni VSC or Pyunik Yerevan
77%1.26
X2Draw or Pyunik Yerevan
52%1.90

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Debreceni VSC1 Draw0 Pyunik Yerevan
23 Jul
Debreceni VSC
0-0
Pyunik Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League

Debreceni VSC and Pyunik Yerevan have been evenly matched in this fixture, with 0 wins each and 1 draws across the last 1 meetings. The record offers no clear edge to either side, and the scorelines have stayed mostly tight rather than one-sided.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Debreceni VSCPyunik Yerevan
1.4Goals p.g.1.27
1.4Goals conceded p.g.0.64
30%Clean sheets55%
30%Win rate55%
2.8Avg goals in match1.91
58%Possession %
5.0Shots on target / game
4.0Corners per game
Debreceni VSC
Recent Form

Debreceni VSC have won 1 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Debreceni VSC 1-3 and beat Debreceni VSC 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 4D 3L from the last 10 games (30% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Debreceni VSCAll competitions
10 Jul
NK Slaven Belupo
0-1
Debreceni VSC
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
Debreceni VSC
1-3
Železničar Pančevo
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Austria Vienna
1-1
Debreceni VSC
Friendlies Clubs
16 May
Debreceni VSC
2-1
Ujpest
NB I
03 May
Paks
5-2
Debreceni VSC
NB I
26 Apr
Debreceni VSC
1-1
Gyori ETO FC
NB I
3
Win
30%
4
Draw
40%
3
Lost
30%
Pyunik Yerevan
Recent Form

Pyunik Yerevan have won 2 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Marsaxlokk 0-3 and lost to Corvinul Hunedoara 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 2L from the last 11 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Pyunik YerevanAll competitions
16 Jul
Pyunik Yerevan
1-0
Marsaxlokk
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0-3
Pyunik Yerevan
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Corvinul Hunedoara
2-0
Pyunik Yerevan
Friendlies Clubs
23 Jun
Aluminij
2-2
Pyunik Yerevan
Friendlies Clubs
27 May
Pyunik Yerevan
2-1
Van
Premier League
23 May
Pyunik Yerevan
0-0
FC Noah
Premier League
6
Win
55%
3
Draw
27%
2
Lost
18%

Lineups

Confirmed

Debreceni VSC4-3-3Confirmed

26Ádám LangDEF
3Adrián GuerreroDEF
23Gergő TerczaDEF
28Maximilian HofmannDEF
25Sohan BaldoniFWD
19Dominik KocsisFWD
99Flórián CiblaFWD
1Plamen AndreevGK
6Blaž BoškovićMID
16Sergi SamperMID
10Balázs DzsudzsákMID
5Bence BatikDEF
72Rotem KellerDEF
4Josua MejíasDEF
77Márk SzécsiFWD
24Imre EgriFWD
11Ákos SzendreiFWD
12Benedek ErdélyiGK
8Leon MyrtajMID
75Dávid PataiMID
20Máté MacsóMID
27Máté KohutMID
78Csaba Sain Balasz

Pyunik Yerevan4-3-3Confirmed

79Sergiy VakulenkoDEF
76Filipe AlmeidaDEF
15Mikhail KovalenkoDEF
22Sead IslamovićDEF
95Momo YansaneFWD
5JamesFWD
9Artak DashyanFWD
16Henri AvagyanGK
11Hovhannes HarutyunyanMID
18Karlen HovhannisyanMID
25Daniil KulikovMID
88Robert DarbinyanDEF
49Aram AharonyanDEF
4Erik SimonyanDEF
3Nikolaos KenourgiosDEF
29Iasonas PikisFWD
19Sargis MetoyanFWD
23WitiFWD
10Iman GriffithFWD
8Gevorg TarakhchyanFWD
71Stanislav BuchnevGK
7Edgar MalakyanMID
17Vyacheslav AfyanMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Debreceni VSC

No reported absences

Pyunik Yerevan

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.76 (55.1%)
Value Bets
Debreceni VSC Win1.79 (48.1%)
Pyunik Yerevan Win4.17 (28.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.99 (44.9%)
Both Teams Score1.87 (48.5%)
BTTS No1.83 (51.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.40 (23.3%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Karlsen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Karlsen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Debreceni VSC average 1.4 goals per match at home; Pyunik Yerevan 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Debreceni VSC have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 30% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Debreceni VSC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.