Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
Match Preview
The model favours Lanus to win this match against Deportivo Riestra, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Lanus currently sits in 6th position in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having accumulated 24 points from 16 matches. Their overall form includes six wins, six draws, and four losses, with a goal difference of +3. One key stat is their scoring ability, having netted 18 goals this season, which indicates a more potent attack compared to their opponents. Deportivo Riestra, on the other hand, is positioned 15th with just 11 points from their 16 matches. Their season has been challenging, marked by only one win, eight draws, and seven losses. They have struggled offensively, scoring just five goals, which is the lowest in the league. Their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss further exemplifies their difficulties in securing victories. The model predicts a win probability of around 60% for Lanus, with a projected score of 1-0. While the statistics suggest a solid case for Lanus, a potential caveat is their recent dip in form, which includes three losses in their last five matches. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Deportivo Riestra have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Lanus average 0.9 goals per game.
Deportivo Riestra manage games at home, conceding just 0.94 goals per match. Lanus score 0.94 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.2% probability.
Lanus have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 20.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Lanus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.98 | 2.76 | 2.68 | 3.10 | 1.35 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 3.24 | 2.62 | 2.60 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.38 | 1.50 | |
| 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.63 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 2.45 | 1.53 | |
| 3.38 | 2.68 | 2.75 | 3.47 | 1.33 | — | — | |
| 2.74 | 2.60 | 2.49 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 2.60 | 2.62 | — | — | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
| 3.50 | 2.62 | 2.55 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 2.38 | 1.53 | |
| 3.26 | 2.68 | 2.68 | 2.97 | 1.30 | 2.38 | 1.52 | |
| 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.85 | 3.15 | 1.34 | 2.35 | 1.53 | |
| 2.90 | 2.63 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 2.30 | 1.57 | |
Betano | 3.35 | 2.70 | 2.65 | 3.20 | 1.37 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
BetVictor | 3.30 | 2.63 | 2.63 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 2.38 | 1.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Deportivo Riestra leads 3-0)In the last four matches between Deportivo Riestra and Lanus, Deportivo Riestra has won three times, with one match ending in a draw, while Lanus has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a strong advantage for Deportivo Riestra, highlighted by two narrow wins (1-0 and 2-0) and one more decisive victory (3-1). The lone draw (0-0) suggests that Lanus has struggled to find the net against Deportivo Riestra in this recent history. Overall, Lanus has not won against Deportivo Riestra in their last four encounters, marking a challenging trend for them.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LDDDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDeportivo Riestra have won 4 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Deportivo Riestra 1-1 and drew with Deportivo Riestra 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 15D 12L from the last 31 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lanus have won 4 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Boca Juniors 1-0 and lost to Union Santa Fe 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 7D 13L from the last 34 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDeportivo Riestra5-3-2Confirmed
Lanus
Not yet available
Unavailable Players
0 playersDeportivo Riestra
No reported absences
Lanus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Leandro Rey Hilfer has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Leandro Rey Hilfer to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Deportivo Riestra have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Lanus 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lanus have generated 1.04 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lanus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
