Dila vs Virtus Prediction, Tips & Odds

Dila vs Virtus

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round
Dila
WDLWW
3 - 1
Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Referee: M. Boskovic
Virtus
LLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 (implied 65.2%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 67.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.48). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.7% vs 65.2%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Dila with a projected scoreline of 2-0 against Virtus. Dila enters this match with a strong expectation of securing a win, as indicated by their high win probability of 78.2%. While specific season statistics are not available, their overall performance in the competition suggests a solid standing and form that has positioned them as the clear favourites. On the other hand, Virtus faces an uphill battle. With a win probability of only 7.3%, they will need to overcome significant challenges to compete effectively against Dila. The lack of detailed season data makes it difficult to assess their strengths and weaknesses, but the odds suggest they could struggle to find the back of the net. The model's output indicates a high likelihood of Dila triumphing, with a clear advantage reflected in the win probabilities. However, the possibility of a surprise performance from Virtus cannot be dismissed entirely, which could impact the outcome. The full methodology of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Dila Win69%1.13
Draw14%7.00
Virtus Win17%15.95
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.4452.9%

Dila have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches. Virtus average 2.9 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5362.5%

Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Dila 2-0 Virtus
5.1219.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Dila -1.5
1.5049%

Dila have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
5.12
19.7%
3-0
5.63
17.8%
1-0
6.55
15.4%
4-0
7.97
12.7%
2-1
9.63
10.5%
3-1
10.96
9.3%

Our model projects a 2-0 Dila win as the most likely scoreline at 19.7% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Dila clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Dila
-0.0
1.05
Virtus
+0.0
13.63
Dila
-1.5
1.50
Virtus
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Dila are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Dila vs Virtus
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.136.0019.001.532.382.601.40
Marathonbet
1.127.6017.751.512.262.611.42
Betfair
1.117.0015.001.502.402.631.44
Pinnacle
1.117.6514.491.512.36——
SBO
1.145.8010.60————
William Hill
1.176.5015.00——2.381.53
Bet365
1.127.5019.001.572.352.751.40
1xBet
1.127.6017.501.512.262.611.43
Unibet
1.147.5015.001.602.172.631.41
888Sport
1.176.5015.001.532.302.381.53
Betano
1.156.7017.001.552.352.651.42
Superbet
1.147.1014.001.532.352.521.47
BetVictor
1.137.5018.001.542.272.551.44

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.1%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XDila or Draw
83%1.02
12Dila or Virtus
86%1.08
X2Draw or Virtus
32%5.07

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Dila leads 1-0)
1 Dila0 Draw0 Virtus
09 Jul
Dila
3-1
Virtus
UEFA Europa Conference League

Dila has won 1 of the last 1 encounters against Virtus, with no draws or wins for Virtus. The only match concluded with a scoreline of 3-1 in favor of Dila, indicating a relatively comfortable victory. This result suggests that Dila has had the upper hand in this matchup, with a clear advantage reflected in the score. Since there has only been one meeting, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions, but the absence of any draws or victories for Virtus highlights a one-sided history.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
DilaVirtus
1.4Goals p.g.2.9
1.3Goals conceded p.g.1.2
30%Clean sheets30%
30%Win rate60%
2.7Avg goals in match4.1
Dila
Recent Form

Dila have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Virtus 3-1 and lost to Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 2D 5L from the last 10 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DilaAll competitions
09 Jul
Dila
3-1
Virtus
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-0
Dila
Super Cup
27 Jun
Dila
0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
22 Jun
Dila
3-0
Rustavi
Erovnuli Liga
16 Jun
Dila
3-1
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
12 Jun
Dinamo Batumi
3-2
Dila
Erovnuli Liga
3
Win
30%
2
Draw
20%
5
Lost
50%
Virtus
Recent Form

Virtus have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Virtus 3-1 and lost to Domagnano 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 1D 3L from the last 10 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: VirtusAll competitions
09 Jul
Dila
3-1
Virtus
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jun
Virtus
2-3
Vardar Skopje
Friendlies Clubs
16 May
Virtus
2-1
La Fiorita
Campionato
12 May
Domagnano
2-1
Virtus
Campionato
09 May
Virtus
2-1
Domagnano
Campionato
06 May
Juvenes / Dogana
0-2
Virtus
Campionato
6
Win
60%
1
Draw
10%
3
Lost
30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Dila

No reported absences

Virtus

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Dila Win1.13 (68.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.53 (62.5%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.31 (37.5%)
Both Teams Score2.57 (47.1%)
BTTS No1.44 (52.9%)
Speculative
Draw7.00 (14.1%)
Virtus Win15.95 (17.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Boskovic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Boskovic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Dila average 1.4 goals per match at home; Virtus 2.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Dila have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 30% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Dila player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Dila vs Virtus Predictions, Stats, H2H - 9 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt