Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen
Match Preview
The model favours Dinamo Zagreb to win against NEC Nijmegen, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Dinamo Zagreb currently sits in 19th place in the UEFA Europa League standings, having played only one match, which ended in a draw. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a solid performance overall. Key to their success has been their ability to maintain a strong defensive record, which may prove crucial in this fixture. On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen finds themselves in 36th place after suffering a heavy defeat in their opening match of the league stage. With no wins and five goals conceded in their last five matches, their form is concerning. The team has struggled to find the back of the net, which could be a significant issue against a more established side like Dinamo Zagreb. The model output suggests a win probability of 65% for Dinamo Zagreb, with the projected score of 2-0 reflecting their superior form and standings. However, a potential caveat is that if Dinamo Zagreb fails to convert their chances, it could lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. The full methodology behind this prediction, which relies on expected goals and actual results, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Head to Head
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 | NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDinamo Zagreb have won 10 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dinamo Zagreb 3-2 and beat Dinamo Zagreb 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 2L from the last 24 games (71% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
NEC Nijmegen have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with NEC Nijmegen 1-1 and lost to Juventus 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 11D 12L from the last 37 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDinamo Zagreb
No reported absences
NEC Nijmegen
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
