OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Tips & Odds
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen
Match Preview
The model favours Bayer Leverkusen to win against OFI, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Bayer Leverkusen currently holds the 8th position in the standings, having won their opening match in the UEFA Europa League. They have been solid in their recent form, with three wins in their last five matches, which indicates a team that is building momentum. Both teams have started the tournament well, each with a goal difference of +2, but Leverkusen's overall performance in recent weeks gives them a slight edge. On the other hand, OFI occupies the 9th position, also with a victory in their first match of the group stage. They are enjoying a strong run with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. This recent form suggests they are a resilient side, capable of competing at this level. However, they will need to elevate their performance against a more experienced opponent like Bayer Leverkusen. The model suggests a win probability of 55% for Bayer Leverkusen, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market statistic is that Leverkusen is currently priced at 1.85 for a win. One caveat to consider is that if OFI can maintain their defensive solidity and capitalize on any mistakes from Leverkusen, they could disrupt the expected outcome. The full methodology of this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilizes an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Head to Head
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 9 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOFI have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with OFI 2-2 and beat OFI 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 11L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bayer Leverkusen have won 9 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 and lost to SV Elversberg 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 8D 7L from the last 33 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersOFI
No reported absences
Bayer Leverkusen
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
