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Drita vs Tre Fiori Prediction, Tips & Odds

Drita vs Tre Fiori

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Drita
WDLDL
VS
Tre Fiori
LLLLD

Match Preview

The model favours Drita to win against Tre Fiori, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Drita's current form indicates a mixed performance, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Despite the recent struggles, they have shown resilience, managing to secure points in tough situations, which suggests they could exploit Tre Fiori's vulnerabilities. In contrast, Tre Fiori has faced significant challenges lately, suffering four consecutive losses and only managing a draw in their last five matches. This poor run of form highlights potential issues in both attack and defence, likely making it difficult for them to turn the tide against a side like Drita that has shown some capacity to compete. The model outputs a win probability favouring Drita, reflecting their relatively stronger position in the matchup. However, one caveat is that if Drita's inconsistency continues, they could be vulnerable to an upset from a desperate Tre Fiori side. For more details on how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
DritaTre Fiori
1.19Goals p.g.1.46
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1
25%Clean sheets46%
38%Win rate46%
2.56Avg goals in match2.46
37%Possession %32%
4.0Shots on target / game3.0
5.0Corners per game1.0
Drita
Recent Form

Drita have won 5 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Floriana 2-1 and lost to Kauno Žalgiris 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 2D 8L from the last 16 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DritaAll competitions
28 Jul
Drita
2-1
Floriana
UEFA Europa Conference League
21 Jul
Floriana
1-1
Drita
UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Jul
Drita
2-3
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
1-1
Drita
UEFA Champions League
29 Jun
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1-0
Drita
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Lokomotiv Sofia
2-1
Drita
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
38%
2
Draw
13%
8
Lost
50%
Tre Fiori
Recent Form

Tre Fiori have won 2 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Larne 2-1 and beat Faetano 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 4L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Tre FioriAll competitions
29 Jul
Tre Fiori
1-3
Forli
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Larne
2-1
Tre Fiori
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0-1
Larne
UEFA Champions League
23 May
Tre Fiori
1-3
La Fiorita
Coppa Titano
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1-1
Pennarossa
Campionato
19 Apr
Faetano
0-1
Tre Fiori
Campionato
6
Win
46%
3
Draw
23%
4
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Drita

No reported absences

Tre Fiori

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.