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Tre Fiori vs Drita Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tre Fiori vs Drita

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Tre Fiori
LLLLD
VS
Drita
WDLDL

Match Preview

The model favours Drita to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Tre Fiori. Drita has shown some resilience this season, managing to secure one win and two draws in their last five matches. Although their overall form has been inconsistent, the ability to pick up points in tough situations could be a crucial advantage in this matchup. On the other hand, Tre Fiori has struggled significantly, with only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five fixtures. This form indicates ongoing challenges, and the pressure will be on them to turn things around in this crucial tie. Their ability to compete at this level will be tested against a more experienced Drita side. The model output suggests a win probability of 60% for Drita. However, it is important to note that Tre Fiori could surprise if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Drita. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Tre FioriDrita
1.46Goals p.g.1.19
1Goals conceded p.g.1.38
46%Clean sheets25%
46%Win rate38%
2.46Avg goals in match2.56
32%Possession %37%
3.0Shots on target / game4.0
1.0Corners per game5.0
Tre Fiori
Recent Form

Tre Fiori have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Forli 1-3 and lost to Larne 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 4L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Tre FioriAll competitions
29 Jul
Tre Fiori
1-3
Forli
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Larne
2-1
Tre Fiori
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0-1
Larne
UEFA Champions League
23 May
Tre Fiori
1-3
La Fiorita
Coppa Titano
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1-1
Pennarossa
Campionato
19 Apr
Faetano
0-1
Tre Fiori
Campionato
6
Win
46%
3
Draw
23%
4
Lost
31%
Drita
Recent Form

Drita have won 1 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Floriana 1-1 and drew with Kauno Žalgiris 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 2D 8L from the last 16 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DritaAll competitions
28 Jul
Drita
2-1
Floriana
UEFA Europa Conference League
21 Jul
Floriana
1-1
Drita
UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Jul
Drita
2-3
Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Kauno Žalgiris
1-1
Drita
UEFA Champions League
29 Jun
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1-0
Drita
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Lokomotiv Sofia
2-1
Drita
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
38%
2
Draw
13%
8
Lost
50%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tre Fiori

No reported absences

Drita

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.