Celtic vs Dundee Prediction, Tips & Odds
Celtic vs Dundee
Match Preview
The model favours Celtic to win against Dundee, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Despite both teams starting the season with no points, Celtic's recent form shows a slight edge, with two wins in their last five matches. Their ability to secure results, even in challenging circumstances, suggests they have the potential to find success as the season progresses. Dundee, on the other hand, enters the match with a mixed form, having won two of their last five games but also experiencing two losses. Their performance thus far has been inconsistent, which could hinder their ability to compete effectively against a team like Celtic, known for their attacking prowess. According to the model, Celtic has a win probability of 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, it is important to note that early-season games can be unpredictable, and both teams are still finding their rhythm. Factors such as player fitness and tactical adjustments could significantly impact the outcome. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.9% probability.
Celtic have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Celtic win as the most likely scoreline at 13.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Celtic clean sheets, in line with their 19% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Celtic are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Celtic vs Dundee| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.16 | 7.00 | 15.50 | 1.35 | 3.10 | 1.90 | 1.85 | |
| 1.16 | 7.40 | 13.00 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
| 1.15 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.19 | 7.96 | 12.64 | 1.33 | 3.33 | — | — | |
| 1.18 | 6.47 | 10.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.18 | 8.00 | 11.00 | 1.33 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.17 | 7.40 | 12.50 | 1.28 | 3.08 | 1.81 | 1.90 | |
| 1.18 | 6.75 | 12.50 | 1.32 | 3.20 | 1.77 | 1.91 | |
| 1.18 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 1.22 | 7.40 | 13.50 | 1.36 | 3.20 | 1.82 | 1.93 |
Superbet | 1.20 | 7.50 | 11.00 | 1.35 | 3.25 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
BetVictor | 1.17 | 7.50 | 13.00 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Celtic leads 8-1)Celtic has a dominant head-to-head record against Dundee, with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss over the last 10 matches. The scorelines indicate a lopsided rivalry, highlighted by heavy defeats such as a 7-1 and a 6-0 victory for Celtic. While Dundee managed a notable 2-0 win in October 2025, their overall performance has been inconsistent, with only one draw and a single win since December 2023. This suggests that Celtic has frequently controlled the matches, leading to a pattern of narrow wins and occasional heavy losses for Dundee.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ST Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  Motherwell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 3 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WL |
| 4 | Celtic | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 6 |  Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 10 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 11 |  Hibernian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 12 |  Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | L |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCeltic have won 11 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Celtic 1-0 and drew with Celtic 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 4L from the last 27 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Dundee have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Celtic 1-0 and drew with Ross County 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 7D 12L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCeltic
No reported absences
Dundee
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. MacDermid has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Celtic have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Dundee 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Celtic have generated 2.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Celtic player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
