Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Konyaspor to win this match against Erzurumspor FK, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Konyaspor currently sits in 17th place in the Süper Lig, having played two matches without a win. Despite starting the season with two losses, they have scored two goals while conceding five, indicating some attacking potential even in their struggles. In contrast, Erzurumspor FK is at the bottom of the table in 18th position, also with two losses and no goals scored, while conceding seven. Their form shows a concerning trend, with only one win in their last five matches and a goal difference that highlights their defensive issues. This lack of offensive output could hinder their chances against a side like Konyaspor. The model assigns a win probability of 55% to Konyaspor, reinforcing their status as the favourite. However, a caveat to consider is that both teams are seeking their first points of the season, which could lead to an unpredictable match dynamic. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Erzurumspor FK manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Konyaspor score 1.34 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Erzurumspor FK have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Erzurumspor FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Erzurumspor FK vs Konyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.40 | 2.96 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.27 | 3.30 | 3.05 | 2.01 | 1.77 | 1.76 | 1.93 | |
| 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.29 | 3.38 | 3.15 | 2.06 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 2.36 | 3.43 | 3.17 | 2.07 | 1.82 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 1.68 | 2.02 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.02 | 1.82 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 | 1.91 | 1.77 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Konyaspor leads 6-0)Konyaspor has won all 6 of the last matches against Erzurumspor FK, demonstrating a strong dominance in this head-to-head record. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow victories, with four matches decided by a single goal, alongside two heavier wins, including a 4-0 defeat for Erzurumspor in a friendly. There have been no draws in these encounters, indicating Konyaspor's consistent ability to secure wins. Erzurumspor has not managed to win against Konyaspor in their last six meetings, highlighting a clear challenge for them moving forward.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WWL |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWL |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | DWD |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 17 | Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 | DLL |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonErzurumspor FK have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Erzurumspor FK 0-4 and beat Erzurumspor FK 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 2L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Konyaspor have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fenerbahçe 4-2 and beat Zorya Luhansk 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 12L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersErzurumspor FK
No reported absences
Konyaspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Erzurumspor FK have averaged 3.2 corners per match at home; Konyaspor 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Erzurumspor FK have generated 1.23 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Erzurumspor FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
