Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction, Tips & Odds
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman
Match Preview
The model favours Atletico Tucuman to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-0 against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. Atletico Tucuman currently sits 13th in the standings, having accumulated 14 points from 16 matches. Their season form shows a notable improvement, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a positive trend. Key statistics include their goal tally of 15 goals scored, which, while not prolific, is significantly higher than Estudiantes' mere five goals. On the other hand, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is struggling at 15th place with only five points, having recorded just one win in their 16 matches this season. Their recent form is concerning, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. This lack of offensive output, combined with a goal difference of -19, underscores their difficulties in both scoring and defending. The model indicates a win probability of around 65% for Atletico Tucuman in this matchup. However, a potential caveat is the unpredictability of football; if Estudiantes can find a way to improve their performance or if Atletico falters, the outcome could differ. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have kept a clean sheet in 28% of matches. Atletico Tucuman average 1.1 goals per game.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto manage games at home, conceding just 1.28 goals per match. Atletico Tucuman score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.5% probability.
Atletico Tucuman have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Atletico Tucuman are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.95 | 2.82 | 2.65 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.08 | 2.71 | 2.64 | 2.76 | 1.35 | 2.22 | 1.57 | |
| 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.63 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.60 | |
| 3.24 | 2.81 | 2.72 | 3.12 | 1.39 | — | — | |
| 2.84 | 2.73 | 2.54 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.60 | — | — | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.14 | 2.76 | 2.69 | 2.76 | 1.35 | 2.22 | 1.59 | |
| 2.80 | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.85 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 1.36 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 3.10 | 2.87 | 2.65 | 3.00 | 1.42 | 2.27 | 1.60 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 2.88 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.30 | 1.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Atletico Tucuman stands at 1 win for Estudiantes and 1 win for Atletico, with no draws in their last two encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of results; Atletico Tucuman secured a dominant 4-0 victory in their first match, while Estudiantes responded with a 3-1 win in their most recent fixture. This suggests a competitive rivalry, though the heavy loss for Estudiantes in the first match may indicate vulnerability when facing Atletico. Overall, the results show a balance in victories but with contrasting margins.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LWDLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DWDDD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WDDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DWDLW |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | WDDWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DDDLW |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LDDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 2 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Sarmiento Junin 0-2 and drew with San Lorenzo 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 7D 16L from the last 25 games (8% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Atletico Tucuman have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Atletico Tucuman 1-2 and beat Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 9L from the last 28 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No reported absences
Atletico Tucuman
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Echenique has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Atletico Tucuman 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atletico Tucuman have generated 0.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atletico Tucuman player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
