Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
Match Preview
The model favours San Lorenzo to win against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. San Lorenzo currently sits in 7th place in the Liga Profesional, having accumulated 22 points from 16 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced performance with five wins, seven draws, and four losses. While their goal-scoring output has been modest with 14 goals, their defence has improved, conceding only 14 goals, giving them a goal difference of zero. In contrast, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto finds themselves struggling at 15th place with only five points from 16 matches, recording just one win, two draws, and an alarming thirteen losses. Their offensive woes are evident, as they have scored only five goals this season while conceding 24, leading to a goal difference of -19. This lack of scoring power has hindered their ability to compete effectively. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for San Lorenzo. However, a potential caveat is San Lorenzo's recent form, where they have only managed one win in their last five matches. This inconsistency could leave them vulnerable. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, the full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have kept a clean sheet in 26% of matches. San Lorenzo average 0.9 goals per game.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto manage games at home, conceding just 1.35 goals per match. San Lorenzo score 0.91 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.9% probability.
San Lorenzo have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 19.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. San Lorenzo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.96 | 2.80 | 2.66 | 3.00 | 1.38 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 3.45 | 2.66 | 2.46 | 3.24 | 1.26 | 2.53 | 1.44 | |
| 3.30 | 2.75 | 2.40 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 2.55 | 1.50 | |
| 3.63 | 2.76 | 2.53 | 3.59 | 1.31 | — | — | |
| 2.83 | 2.70 | 2.46 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.40 | 2.62 | 2.45 | — | — | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 3.60 | 2.62 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 3.51 | 2.71 | 2.51 | 3.24 | 1.26 | 2.53 | 1.46 | |
| 3.20 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 3.15 | 1.34 | 2.38 | 1.52 | |
| 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 1.36 | 2.25 | 1.60 | |
Betano | 3.55 | 2.72 | 2.52 | 3.35 | 1.34 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
Superbet | 3.35 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 3.40 | 1.33 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 2.75 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 1.29 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (San Lorenzo leads 1-0)In their only previous encounter, San Lorenzo won against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto with a score of 2-0. This result indicates a clear victory for San Lorenzo, reflecting a one-sided match where Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto was unable to score. As this was the sole fixture between the two teams, there is no history of draws or varying scorelines to analyze, making it difficult to assess any patterns. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto has yet to secure a win against San Lorenzo in their head-to-head record.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DDDWD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDDWW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 22 | DWLLW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | WWLDL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLWLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 1 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with San Lorenzo 0-0 and lost to Atletico Tucuman 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 1W 6D 16L from the last 23 games (4% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
San Lorenzo have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 10 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include drew with San Lorenzo 0-0 and lost to Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 15D 8L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No reported absences
San Lorenzo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Arasa has averaged 4.4 yellow cards per match across 5 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; San Lorenzo 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
San Lorenzo have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. San Lorenzo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
