Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense Prediction, Tips & Odds
Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense
Match Preview
The model favours Estudiantes L.P. to win against Platense, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Estudiantes currently sits at the top of the Liga Profesional standings with 31 points from 16 matches, showcasing a strong season with 9 wins, 4 draws, and only 3 losses. Their goal difference of +12 indicates a solid defensive unit, having conceded just 7 goals, while their consistent form, with 3 wins and a draw in their last five matches, highlights their capability to secure results. On the other hand, Platense is positioned 12th with 16 points from the same number of matches. They have struggled this season, managing only 3 wins and 7 draws, alongside 6 losses. Their goal tally of 10 goals scored against 15 conceded reflects their difficulties in both attacking and defending. Despite a recent uptick in form with one win and four draws in their last five matches, they still face significant challenges against a top-performing Estudiantes side. The model gives Estudiantes a strong win probability based on their season performance, while also noting potential vulnerabilities. One caveat is that if Platense manages to stifle Estudiantes' attack, they could secure an unexpected result. For a deeper understanding of the predictions, the full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Estudiantes L.P. have kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches. Platense average 0.8 goals per game.
Estudiantes L.P. manage games at home, conceding just 0.93 goals per match. Platense score 0.82 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.7% probability.
Estudiantes L.P. have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Estudiantes L.P. win as the most likely scoreline at 20.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Estudiantes L.P. clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Estudiantes L.P. are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Estudiantes L.P. vs Platense| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.73 | 3.25 | 5.50 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.90 | 3.06 | 4.55 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.28 | 1.54 | |
| 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.50 | 2.63 | 1.47 | 2.38 | 1.57 | |
| 1.95 | 3.15 | 4.86 | 2.85 | 1.46 | — | — | |
| 1.90 | 2.99 | 4.04 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.40 | — | — | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.91 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.94 | 3.12 | 4.64 | 2.54 | 1.41 | 2.28 | 1.56 | |
| 1.84 | 3.25 | 4.70 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
| 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.25 | 1.57 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 3.15 | 5.00 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.22 | 1.62 |
Superbet | 1.87 | 3.20 | 4.90 | 2.65 | 1.48 | 2.32 | 1.56 |
BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.13 | 4.60 | 2.54 | 1.44 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Estudiantes L.P. leads 4-2)In the last nine matches between Estudiantes L.P. and Platense, Estudiantes L.P. has won 4 times, Platense has won 2, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in narrow margins, including three draws and a mix of 1-0 and 2-1 results. While Estudiantes L.P. has managed to secure more victories, the close scorelines suggest that Platense has been capable of competing effectively. Notably, Platense last won against Estudiantes L.P. in March 2024, indicating a slight gap in their recent successes against this opponent.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | LDLWD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWW |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | LDDDL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEstudiantes L.P. have won 12 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 and beat Estudiantes L.P. 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 10D 14L from the last 42 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Platense have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Defensa Y Justicia 1-0 and beat Barracas Central 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 14D 11L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersEstudiantes L.P.
No reported absences
Platense
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Estudiantes L.P. have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Platense 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Estudiantes L.P. have generated 1.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Estudiantes L.P. player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
