Everton vs Ipswich Prediction, Tips & Odds
Everton vs Ipswich
Match Preview
The model favours Everton to win against Ipswich, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Everton currently sits in 8th place in the Premier League, having played three matches this season with one win and two draws. They have scored five goals while conceding three, demonstrating a solid defensive record. Their recent form, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, reinforces their position as a competitive side. Ipswich, on the other hand, is positioned 14th and has struggled in the early part of the season. With one win and two losses in their three matches, they have scored four goals but conceded eight, leading to a negative goal difference. Their recent form shows some signs of life, with three wins in their last five matches, but they also have two consecutive losses that highlight their inconsistency. The model indicates a win probability of 60% for Everton, suggesting they have a strong chance of securing the three points. However, a potential caveat is that if Ipswich can harness their recent winning momentum, they could pose a threat. For a detailed explanation of our prediction method, please see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.5% probability.
Everton have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Everton clean sheets, in line with their 24% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Everton are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Everton vs Ipswich| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.80 | 3.84 | 4.40 | 1.76 | 2.09 | 1.67 | 2.07 | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.33 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.20 | |
| 1.81 | 3.83 | 4.55 | 1.79 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 1.74 | 3.43 | 3.85 | 1.76 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 4.20 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.86 | 3.92 | 4.51 | 1.83 | 2.14 | 1.68 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 4.45 | 1.75 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Everton leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Everton and Ipswich shows 1 win for Everton, 1 draw, and no wins for Ipswich in their last two encounters. The matches have been relatively competitive, with one ending in a draw and the other resulting in a 2-0 victory for Everton. This indicates a tight rivalry, as Ipswich managed to earn a point in their most recent match despite not securing a win. The last time Ipswich triumphed over Everton appears to be absent from this recent history, suggesting a challenge for them in breaking this pattern.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | LWW |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | DDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | WDD |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | DDW |
| 14 | Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonEverton have won 3 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Everton 2-0 and drew with Everton 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 9L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Ipswich have won 7 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Manchester United 5-2 and beat Union Berlin 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 8L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedEverton4-2-3-1Confirmed
Ipswich4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersEverton
No reported absences
Ipswich
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Stuart Attwell has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Stuart Attwell to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Everton have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Ipswich 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Everton have generated 1.12 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Everton player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
