FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne
Match Preview
The model favours Lausanne to win against FC Basel 1893, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. As the current league leaders, Lausanne enters this match with a strong recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches. This momentum could be crucial as they look to maintain their position at the top of the table. On the other hand, FC Basel 1893 starts the season in fourth place but has struggled with consistency, managing only one win in their last five matches. Their recent form of one win, two draws, and two losses highlights the need for improvement if they want to challenge for higher positions in the league. The model estimates a win probability of 55% for Lausanne, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential pitfall for Lausanne could be the pressure of expectations as they aim to maintain their top spot. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results across the season, can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has carefully considered these factors to arrive at this prediction.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
FC Basel 1893 have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. FC Basel 1893 are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Basel 1893 vs Lausanne| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.45 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
| 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.64 | 1.47 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 1.87 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.93 | 3.94 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 2.51 | — | — | |
| 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.32 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 1.90 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.89 | 3.80 | 3.63 | 1.47 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 1.96 | 3.75 | 3.30 | 1.49 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
Betano | 1.91 | 3.85 | 3.45 | 1.52 | 2.50 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
Superbet | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.55 | 1.52 | 2.42 | 1.49 | 2.45 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between FC Basel 1893 and Lausanne stands at three wins for each team and four draws over their last ten encounters. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no side clearly dominating. The scorelines further reveal a mix of results, including a notable heavy win for Lausanne at 5-1, while other matches have been closely contested, with several draws and narrow victories. The most recent match saw FC Basel secure a 2-1 win against Lausanne, but overall, the results suggest both teams have had their share of success and challenges in these fixtures.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | WWL |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWD |
| 10 |  Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 |  FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Basel 1893 have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lausanne 0-1 and drew with Juventus 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 14L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lausanne have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Basel 1893 0-1 and lost to Saint Etienne 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 5D 15L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Basel 1893
No reported absences
Lausanne
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Basel 1893 have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Lausanne 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Basel 1893 have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Basel 1893 player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
