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FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens

SuperligaRegular Season - 8
FC Copenhagen
#1 · Superliga
LWWWW
2 - 0
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
AC Horsens
#6 · Superliga
WDWLW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.60
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.54 (implied 65.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 67.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.48). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.6% vs 65.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Copenhagen to win against AC Horsens, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 5th in the Superliga, FC Copenhagen has enjoyed a solid start to the season with three wins from their first four matches, scoring 10 goals while conceding 7. Their recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches, underscores their attacking prowess and ability to secure crucial points. On the other hand, AC Horsens sits just behind in 6th place with 7 points from 6 games. Their record of two wins, one draw, and three losses indicates inconsistency, particularly evident in their last five matches where they've managed only two victories. With 8 goals scored and 10 conceded, they have struggled defensively, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. The model gives FC Copenhagen a win probability of approximately 60%, suggesting they are the stronger side heading into this fixture. However, a key concern is their defensive vulnerabilities, as indicated by the goals conceded. If AC Horsens can exploit these weaknesses, they might pull off an upset. The full methodology of our predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Copenhagen Win64%1.31
Draw17%5.30
AC Horsens Win19%8.62
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8855.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.5462.4%

Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Copenhagen 2-0 AC Horsens
6.6015.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Copenhagen -0.5
1.3058%

FC Copenhagen have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.60
15.2%
1-0
7.43
13.5%
2-1
7.89
12.8%
3-0
8.13
12.4%
1-1
9.63
10.4%
3-1
9.92
10.2%

Our model projects a 2-0 FC Copenhagen win as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Copenhagen clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Copenhagen
-0.0
1.07
AC Horsens
+0.0
6.73
FC Copenhagen
-0.5
1.30
AC Horsens
+0.5
6.80

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Copenhagen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.285.509.401.502.551.851.83
Marathonbet
1.295.359.101.512.271.881.80
Betfair
1.295.009.001.572.381.901.87
Pinnacle
1.315.879.371.562.54——
SBO
1.324.947.14————
William Hill
1.305.008.50——1.851.85
Bet365
1.335.508.501.532.401.951.80
1xBet
1.295.509.051.482.341.851.85
Unibet
1.285.509.001.502.551.821.86
888Sport
1.335.008.001.532.401.851.85
Betano
1.345.308.501.602.421.911.83
Superbet
1.345.508.001.582.401.921.83
BetVictor
1.295.008.501.542.261.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
81.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
39.6%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Copenhagen or Draw
81%1.06
12FC Copenhagen or AC Horsens
83%1.13
X2Draw or AC Horsens
36%3.34

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Copenhagen leads 7-3)
7 FC Copenhagen0 Draw3 AC Horsens
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
AC Horsens
Friendlies Clubs
Mar 23
AC Horsens
1-4
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Jul 22
FC Copenhagen
0-1
AC Horsens
Superliga
Feb 21
AC Horsens
0-2
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Dec 20
FC Copenhagen
2-0
AC Horsens
Superliga
Mar 20
FC Copenhagen
0-1
AC Horsens
Superliga
Jul 19
AC Horsens
0-2
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Dec 18
AC Horsens
1-6
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Jul 18
FC Copenhagen
1-2
AC Horsens
Superliga
Apr 18
AC Horsens
2-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between FC Copenhagen and AC Horsens, FC Copenhagen has won 7 times while AC Horsens has secured 3 victories, with no matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of close encounters and some decisive wins, with several matches featuring a margin of two or more goals. Notably, AC Horsens last won against FC Copenhagen in July 2022, suggesting a recent trend favoring FC Copenhagen. Overall, while there have been tight matches, the overall head-to-head record leans significantly in favor of FC Copenhagen.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
98012381524
WWWWW
2
FC Midtjylland
9540179819
DWDWD
3
Viborg
9522158717
WDLWW
4
FC Nordsjaelland
95221410417
LWDLW
5
Brondby
94141215-313
LLLLW
6
AC Horsens
93241516-111
DLWLW
10
Lyngby
91441016-67
LDWDL
11
Aarhus
90541117-65
DLDLL
12
Sonderjyske
91261221-95
WDLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
FC CopenhagenHome
4W0D0L
4 playedGF 10 · GA 33.00 pts/game
AC HorsensAway
2W0D2L
4 playedGF 8 · GA 71.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC CopenhagenAC Horsens
2.33Goals p.g.1.79
1.31Goals conceded p.g.1.21
29%Clean sheets25%
62%Win rate50%
3.64Avg goals in match3
1.60xG per game1.13
0.14xGA per game-0.73
49%Possession %47%
6.2Shots on target / game4.7
5.4Corners per game2.9
FC Copenhagen
Recent Form

FC Copenhagen have won 15 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Copenhagen 2-0 and beat FC Copenhagen 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 26W 6D 10L from the last 42 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC CopenhagenAll competitions
04 Oct
Hamburger SV
2-0
FC Copenhagen
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
Brondby
0-1
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
15 Sept
Skovshoved
0-3
FC Copenhagen
DBU Pokalen
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2-0
AC Horsens
Superliga
06 Sept
Odense
0-5
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
26
Win
62%
6
Draw
14%
10
Lost
24%
AC Horsens
Recent Form

AC Horsens have won 6 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Næsby 2-3 and lost to FC Copenhagen 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 7L from the last 24 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AC HorsensAll competitions
02 Oct
AC Horsens
2-1
Vejle
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
AC Horsens
2-2
Aarhus
Superliga
16 Sept
Næsby
2-3
AC Horsens
DBU Pokalen
11 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2-0
AC Horsens
Superliga
06 Sept
Sonderjyske
2-5
AC Horsens
Superliga
01 Sept
Lyseng
0-4
AC Horsens
DBU Pokalen
12
Win
50%
5
Draw
21%
7
Lost
29%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

7 players

FC Copenhagen6

✕A. Cornelius
Missing FixtureInjury
✕M. Lopez
Missing FixtureInjury
✕M. Madsen
Missing FixtureInjury
✕M. Mattsson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕R. Huescas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
✕T. Delaney
Missing FixtureInactive

AC Horsens1

✕C. Vestergaard
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FC Copenhagen Win1.31 (63.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.54 (62.4%)
Both Teams Score1.88 (55.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.41 (37.6%)
BTTS No1.84 (44.2%)
Speculative
Draw5.30 (17%)
AC Horsens Win8.62 (19.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

FC Copenhagen have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; AC Horsens 2.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Copenhagen have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Copenhagen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.