FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL
Match Preview
The model favours Tigres UANL to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Tigres currently sit in 15th place after seven matches, with one win, three draws, and three losses. Their scoring has been modest, with nine goals for and 11 against, but they have shown some resilience, managing three draws in their last five matches. This form suggests they are capable of at least securing points, even if they haven't consistently converted chances into wins. In contrast, FC Juarez is struggling significantly this season, sitting at the bottom of the league in 18th place with no wins and a goal difference of -18. They have failed to register a point from their seven matches, scoring just three goals while conceding 21. Their recent form is particularly concerning, as they have lost all five of their last games, indicating a lack of confidence and ability to compete at this level. The model gives Tigres a win probability of approximately 60%, with the projected score of 2-0 reflecting their superior standing and form compared to Juarez. One caveat is that if Juarez can somehow find a way to score early, it could shift the dynamics of the match. The full methodology used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team relies on an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
Tigres UANL have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tigres UANL are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.96 | 3.48 | 1.83 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 4.21 | 3.64 | 1.91 | 1.82 | 2.06 | — | — | |
| 3.64 | 3.37 | 1.86 | 1.79 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.83 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 3.98 | 3.48 | 1.85 | 1.76 | 1.98 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 4.25 | 3.65 | 1.93 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.87 | 1.73 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tigres UANL leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between FC Juarez and Tigres UANL, Tigres UANL leads with 6 wins, while FC Juarez has secured 2 victories, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency toward tight matches, with several narrow wins, as seen in the 1-0 results. However, Tigres UANL has also recorded a few heavier victories, including a 3-0 win. FC Juarez's last win against Tigres UANL came in March 2026, suggesting a challenge in recent encounters, especially given their limited success in this matchup.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Juarez have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Juarez 0-2 and lost to FC Juarez 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 16L from the last 31 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Tigres UANL have won 3 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Tigres UANL 0-0 and drew with Santos Laguna 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 13D 10L from the last 36 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed
Tigres UANL4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Juarez
No reported absences
Tigres UANL
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
FC Juarez have averaged 3.0 corners per match at home; Tigres UANL 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tigres UANL have generated 1.46 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tigres UANL player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
