FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win against IFK Goteborg, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Levadia Tallinn has shown solid form recently, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This level of performance indicates a competitive edge as they head into this fixture, suggesting they can convert their home advantage into another victory. In contrast, IFK Goteborg has struggled to find consistency, with only one win in their last five matches, accompanied by three losses. Their recent form reflects challenges in both attacking and defensive phases, which could hinder their ability to secure points in this crucial away match. The team will need to improve to present a strong challenge against a confident FC Levadia Tallinn. The model outputs a win probability in favour of FC Levadia Tallinn, reflecting their recent form and home advantage. However, a potential caveat is IFK Goteborg's ability to surprise, especially if they can leverage any defensive lapses from their opponents. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.0% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 70% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs IFK Goteborg| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.90 | 3.65 | 2.12 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.45 | 2.40 | |
| 3.10 | 3.62 | 2.08 | 1.57 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 3.12 | 3.62 | 2.08 | 1.56 | 2.36 | — | — | |
| 2.74 | 3.19 | 2.12 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 3.21 | 3.75 | 2.16 | 1.61 | 2.38 | 1.48 | 2.47 | |
| 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.52 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.95 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Superbet | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.15 | 1.56 | 2.27 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.10 | 1.56 | 2.22 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 1-0)FC Levadia Tallinn has a perfect head-to-head record against IFK Goteborg, with 1 win and no draws or losses. The only match between these two teams ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of FC Levadia Tallinn. This result indicates a relatively comfortable victory for FC Levadia Tallinn, suggesting that they had control of the match. As there is only one match in this sample, it is difficult to draw broader conclusions about the competitiveness or scoring patterns between these clubs.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Levadia Tallinn have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 5-0 and drew with FC Levadia Tallinn 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 6D 3L from the last 30 games (70% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
IFK Goteborg have won 2 of their last 4 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Malmo FF 4-0 and beat Vasteras SK FK 4-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 3D 5L from the last 11 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Levadia Tallinn4-1-3-2Confirmed
IFK Goteborg4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
IFK Goteborg
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Kringstad has averaged 4.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn average 2.6 goals per match at home; IFK Goteborg 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 70% of their matches and averaging 2.6 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
