FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a projected scoreline of 3-1. Currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga, FC Levadia Tallinn has displayed exceptional form this season, registering 19 wins, 5 draws, and just 1 loss from 25 matches. Their impressive goal difference of +46, with 66 goals scored and only 20 conceded, highlights their dominance in both attacking and defensive phases of the game. On the other hand, Tammeka occupies the 5th position in the league with a record of 13 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses. They have scored 33 goals while conceding 35, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Although Tammeka has shown some resilience with four wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance has been inconsistent, and they face a formidable challenge against the league leaders. According to the model, FC Levadia Tallinn has a win probability of 68.1%, while Tammeka's chances stand at 14.9%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 70.0%. A potential caveat for FC Levadia Tallinn could be complacency, as they face a team with a recent upturn in form. For a detailed explanation of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.5% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 3-0 FC Levadia Tallinn win as the most likely scoreline at 12.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Levadia Tallinn clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.17 | 5.60 | 11.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.64 | 2.07 | |
| 1.14 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 1.25 | 3.60 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.24 | 5.15 | 13.07 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.17 | 5.90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.17 | 6.50 | 11.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.20 | 6.50 | 9.50 | 1.28 | 3.50 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.18 | 5.60 | 12.50 | 1.25 | 3.28 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 1.98 | 4.00 | 2.75 | 1.16 | 4.20 | — | — | |
Betano | 1.21 | 5.90 | 9.00 | — | — | — | — |
BetVictor | 1.13 | 5.25 | 8.00 | 1.18 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Levadia Tallinn leads 9-0)In the last 10 matches between FC Levadia Tallinn and Tammeka, FC Levadia Tallinn has won 9 times, with 1 draw and no wins for Tammeka. The scorelines indicate a strong dominance by FC Levadia Tallinn, with several heavy wins, including a 4-0 and a 4-2 victory. Tammeka's only point came from a 2-2 draw, highlighting the difficulty they have faced in this matchup. Tammeka has not won against FC Levadia Tallinn in these 10 encounters, underscoring a lopsided historical record.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 66 | 20 | 46 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 27 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 49 | DWWLL |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 44 | LLLLW |
| 4 |  Paide | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 | LWWDW |
| 5 | Tammeka | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 41 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Laagri | 26 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 31 | LWWLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 27 | 9 | 1 | 17 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 28 | WLLLL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 28 | WDLWW |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 18 | DLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Levadia Tallinn have won 10 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1 and beat FC Levadia Tallinn 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 25W 7D 5L from the last 37 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 8 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tammeka 0-2 and lost to Flora Tallinn 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 3D 14L from the last 35 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Frischer has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Frischer to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
FC Levadia Tallinn average 2.6 goals per match at home; Tammeka 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 68% of their matches and averaging 2.6 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.