FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC
Match Preview
The model favours FC Nordsjaelland to win this match against Randers FC, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Nordsjaelland enters the new season positioned 9th in the standings, having not yet played a match. However, their recent form shows a mixed bag with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. While these results are from the previous season, they indicate a need for improvement, particularly in their defensive play, as they have struggled to maintain consistency. On the other hand, Randers FC currently sits in 11th place, also yet to play this season. Their recent form suggests a slight edge, with one win and two draws in their last five matches, although they too have faced challenges, recording two losses. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to start the season strong, especially when facing a team like Nordsjaelland. The model output indicates a win probability of 55% for FC Nordsjaelland, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, which stands at a reasonable level given both teams’ recent scoring patterns. However, an honest caveat is that early-season matches can be unpredictable, with teams still finding their rhythm. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
FC Nordsjaelland have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Nordsjaelland clean sheets, in line with their 25% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FC Nordsjaelland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
| 1.61 | 4.15 | 4.75 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.63 | 4.39 | 5.10 | 1.60 | 2.43 | — | — | |
| 1.64 | 3.91 | 4.53 | 1.59 | 2.36 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.63 | 4.15 | 4.69 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
| 1.63 | 4.10 | 4.90 | 1.58 | 2.32 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 1.62 | 4.30 | 4.90 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 1.65 | 4.15 | 4.85 | 1.61 | 2.35 | 1.63 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.00 | 4.60 | 1.56 | 2.23 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Nordsjaelland leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between FC Nordsjaelland and Randers FC, FC Nordsjaelland has won 5 times, Randers FC has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with both teams experiencing narrow victories, such as the 1-0 and 3-2 results, alongside heavier defeats, like Randers FC's 5-0 loss. The matches have been relatively competitive, with no team consistently dominating, although FC Nordsjaelland has secured a higher number of victories. The most recent win for Randers FC came in September 2025, suggesting they have struggled to find consistent success against Nordsjaelland.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brondby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 | Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 5 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Viborg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 |  AC Horsens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Nordsjaelland have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 and beat FC Nordsjaelland 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 10D 8L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Randers FC have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 and drew with Lechia Gdansk 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 8D 11L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Nordsjaelland3-4-3Confirmed
Randers FC4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersFC Nordsjaelland3
Randers FC3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Hansen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Hansen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
FC Nordsjaelland have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Randers FC 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Nordsjaelland have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Nordsjaelland player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
