Odense vs Sonderjyske Prediction, Tips & Odds
Odense vs Sonderjyske
Match Preview
The model favours Sonderjyske to win against Odense, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sonderjyske enters the new season with a strong position, having finished last season in a much higher league position compared to Odense. Their recent form, although mixed, includes two wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential momentum that they can carry into this new campaign. Odense, on the other hand, begins the season in a challenging position. Their recent form shows they have struggled, with only two wins in their last five matches, alongside three losses. This inconsistency could be a concern as they look to establish themselves early in the season. With no points yet on the board, the pressure may be on to perform at home. The model outputs a win probability that favours Sonderjyske significantly, reflecting their stronger previous season. However, one caveat is that early-season matches can often be unpredictable, and both teams are starting from scratch with no points accumulated yet. The full method of our analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.8% probability.
Odense have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Odense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Odense vs Sonderjyske| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.48 | 2.45 | |
| 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.18 | 3.77 | 3.22 | 1.60 | 2.42 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.47 | 2.98 | 1.55 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.14 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.58 | 2.33 | 1.48 | 2.47 | |
| 2.08 | 3.65 | 3.25 | 1.62 | 2.23 | 1.50 | 2.35 | |
| 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
Betano | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.15 | 1.65 | 2.32 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Superbet | 2.17 | 3.55 | 3.20 | 1.58 | 2.40 | 1.48 | 2.52 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Odense leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Odense and Sonderjyske, Odense has won 4 times, Sonderjyske has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several tight matches, including four draws and multiple games decided by a single goal. Notably, both teams have experienced periods of success, but Odense has been more consistent in recent encounters, winning the last two competitive fixtures. The overall record suggests that while Odense holds a slight edge, both teams are capable of competing closely.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brondby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Viborg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 8 | Odense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
| 10 | Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 |  AC Horsens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonOdense have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sonderjyske 1-0 and beat Hillerød 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 11L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sonderjyske have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Odense 1-0 and lost to Holstein Kiel 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 7D 12L from the last 27 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedOdense4-4-2Confirmed
Sonderjyske4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersOdense2
Sonderjyske4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Putros has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Odense have averaged 6.7 corners per match at home; Sonderjyske 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Odense have generated 1.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Odense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
