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Odense vs Sonderjyske Prediction, Tips & Odds

Odense vs Sonderjyske

SuperligaRegular Season - 2
Odense
#12 · Superliga
LLLWW
VS
Nature Energy Park, Odense (15,790)
Sonderjyske
#10 · Superliga
WLDWL
★ OUR PICK
Odense to Win
Slight home form and superior underlying numbers over Sonderjyske make Odense the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.94
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.94 (implied 51.5%) for Odense to Win. Our experts calculate a 54.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.85). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (54.0% vs 51.5%), driven by Odense's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Sonderjyske to win against Odense, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sonderjyske enters the new season with a strong position, having finished last season in a much higher league position compared to Odense. Their recent form, although mixed, includes two wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential momentum that they can carry into this new campaign. Odense, on the other hand, begins the season in a challenging position. Their recent form shows they have struggled, with only two wins in their last five matches, alongside three losses. This inconsistency could be a concern as they look to establish themselves early in the season. With no points yet on the board, the pressure may be on to perform at home. The model outputs a win probability that favours Sonderjyske significantly, reflecting their stronger previous season. However, one caveat is that early-season matches can often be unpredictable, and both teams are starting from scratch with no points accumulated yet. The full method of our analysis is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Odense Win46%1.94
Draw21%3.80
Sonderjyske Win32%3.58
Asian Handicap
Odense -0.0
1.4740%

Odense have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Odense
-0.0
1.47
Sonderjyske
+0.0
2.38

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Odense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Odense vs Sonderjyske
Bookmaker1X2
1X2
1xBet
1.943.803.58

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XOdense or Draw
68%1.26
12Odense or Sonderjyske
79%1.24
X2Draw or Sonderjyske
54%1.82

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Odense leads 4-2)
4 Odense4 Draw2 Sonderjyske
01 Mar
Sonderjyske
1-0
Odense
Superliga
Oct 25
Odense
1-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
Jun 25
Odense
0-2
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
Mar 25
Odense
1-0
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
Jan 25
Sonderjyske
2-3
Odense
Friendlies Clubs
May 22
Odense
1-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
May 22
Odense
3-0
Sonderjyske
DBU Pokalen
Apr 22
Sonderjyske
1-2
Odense
DBU Pokalen
Apr 22
Sonderjyske
2-2
Odense
Superliga
Mar 22
Sonderjyske
2-2
Odense
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Odense and Sonderjyske, Odense has won 4 times, Sonderjyske has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several tight matches, including four draws and multiple games decided by a single goal. Notably, both teams have experienced periods of success, but Odense has been more consistent in recent encounters, winning the last two competitive fixtures. The overall record suggests that while Odense holds a slight edge, both teams are capable of competing closely.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
FC Copenhagen
11003213
W
2
FC Midtjylland
11003213
W
3
Viborg
11001013
W
4
Aarhus
10101101
D
5
Brondby
10101101
D
6
AC Horsens
10101101
D
10
Sonderjyske
100123-10
L
11
Lyngby
100123-10
L
12
Odense
100101-10
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
OdenseHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
SonderjyskeAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
OdenseSonderjyske
1.54Goals p.g.1.42
1.67Goals conceded p.g.1.83
12%Clean sheets25%
38%Win rate33%
3.21Avg goals in match3.25
1.73xG per game1.31
0.09xGA per game-0.09
57%Possession %42%
4.6Shots on target / game3.9
6.7Corners per game3.8
Odense
Recent Form

Odense have won 7 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Odense 2-0 and beat Odense 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 11L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: OdenseAll competitions
24 Jul
Viborg
1-0
Odense
Superliga
17 Jul
FC Midtjylland
4-1
Odense
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Brondby
4-0
Odense
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Odense
2-0
Hillerød
Friendlies Clubs
29 Jun
Odense
2-1
Kolding IF
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
Odense
0-1
Vejle
Superliga
9
Win
38%
4
Draw
17%
11
Lost
46%
Sonderjyske
Recent Form

Sonderjyske have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Holstein Kiel 2-1 and beat Randers FC 2-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 10L from the last 24 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: SonderjyskeAll competitions
17 Jul
Sonderjyske
1-0
Kolding IF
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1-1
Viking
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Randers FC
2-4
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
Sonderjyske
1-4
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
08 May
Viborg
0-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
8
Win
33%
6
Draw
25%
10
Lost
42%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Odense

No reported absences

Sonderjyske

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Odense Win1.94 (46.2%)
Sonderjyske Win3.58 (32.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.80 (21.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Odense have averaged 6.7 corners per match at home; Sonderjyske 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Odense have generated 1.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Odense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Odense to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.