FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion
Match Preview
The model favours FC St. Gallen to win against FC Sion, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC St. Gallen currently sits in 4th place in the league standings with a record of two wins, one draw, and no losses this season. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 5, resulting in a positive goal difference of 2. Their recent form shows some inconsistency, but they have managed to secure points effectively at this stage of the season. On the other hand, FC Sion is just one point behind in 5th place, having played the same number of matches. With two wins and one loss this season, they have scored 8 goals while conceding 6, also maintaining a goal difference of 2. Sion has displayed a stronger recent form, winning three of their last five matches, but they will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities if they are to challenge St. Gallen effectively. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for FC St. Gallen, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that FC Sion has shown the ability to score freely, which could lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.8% probability.
FC ST. Gallen have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC ST. Gallen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.13 | 3.65 | 3.04 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.32 | 3.04 | |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.88 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.29 | 3.30 | |
| 2.20 | 3.83 | 3.15 | 1.37 | 3.20 | — | — | |
| 2.12 | 3.58 | 2.78 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.33 | 3.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.04 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.32 | 3.10 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 3.00 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.90 | 2.80 | 1.30 | 3.13 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC ST. Gallen leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between FC St. Gallen and FC Sion, FC St. Gallen has won 4 times, while FC Sion has secured 2 victories, with 4 matches ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, though FC St. Gallen has often had the upper hand, including two heavy wins of 4-0. The presence of four draws suggests that both teams have managed to keep matches closely contested at times. FC Sion's last win in this fixture dates back to May 2026, highlighting a recent struggle to secure victories against FC St. Gallen.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 25 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 3 | FC Sion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | LWLLD |
| 5 | FC ST. Gallen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | WLLWL |
| 6 |  FC Luzern | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 | LLWDW |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC ST. Gallen have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC ST. Gallen 0-3 and lost to FC ST. Gallen 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 10D 8L from the last 39 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Sion have won 9 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Grasshoppers 2-5 and beat FC ST. Gallen 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 11D 6L from the last 37 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC ST. Gallen3-5-2Confirmed
FC Sion4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC ST. Gallen
No reported absences
FC Sion
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC ST. Gallen have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; FC Sion 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC ST. Gallen have generated 2.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 7.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC ST. Gallen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.