FC Thun vs Grasshoppers Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Thun vs Grasshoppers
Match Preview
The model favours FC Thun to win this match against Grasshoppers, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Thun, currently sitting in 10th place, has had a challenging start to the season with one win and two losses in their first three matches. Despite their negative goal difference of -6, they have managed to score five goals, indicating some attacking potential that could be crucial in this fixture. On the other hand, Grasshoppers finds themselves in 11th place, struggling to find their footing with no wins so far this season. Their record of two losses and one draw in three matches, along with a goal difference of -4, suggests they are having difficulty both in defence and attack, having scored just three goals. This form could impact their confidence heading into this match. The model output indicates a win probability of around 60% for FC Thun, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is their home advantage, which could play a significant role. However, if FC Thun fails to convert their chances or struggles defensively as they have in previous matches, the outcome could be different. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.3% probability.
FC Thun have been the stronger side, winning 46% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Thun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Thun vs Grasshoppers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.78 | 3.90 | 3.94 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.90 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.75 | |
| 1.83 | 4.07 | 4.08 | 1.47 | 2.76 | — | — | |
| 1.79 | 3.76 | 3.55 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.80 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.10 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.92 | 1.40 | 2.57 | 1.43 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.95 | 1.47 | 2.57 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Thun leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between FC Thun and Grasshoppers, FC Thun has won 4 times, Grasshoppers has also won 3 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with FC Thun achieving a notable 5-1 victory in their most recent encounter. While there are instances of tight matches, such as the 1-1 draws, the overall results show a tendency for both teams to score, with several matches featuring 2 or more goals. Grasshoppers last won against FC Thun in early 2024, suggesting a competitive balance in their recent meetings.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 25 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 3 |  FC Sion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | LWLLD |
| 5 |  FC ST. Gallen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 | WLLWL |
| 6 |  FC Luzern | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 12 | WLDWD |
| 9 | FC Thun | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 | WLLLD |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 | LLWDW |
| 11 |  FC Vaduz | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 6 | LLWLW |
| 12 |  Lausanne | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 6 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Thun have won 8 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Thun 2-4 and lost to FC Thun 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 15L from the last 37 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Grasshoppers have won 6 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Grasshoppers 5-1 and beat FC Thun 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 18L from the last 35 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Thun4-2-2-2Confirmed
Grasshoppers4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Thun
No reported absences
Grasshoppers
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Thun have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Grasshoppers 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Thun have generated 1.33 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 46% of them. They put 4.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Thun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.