Frosinone vs Como Prediction, Tips & Odds
Frosinone vs Como
Match Preview
The model favours Frosinone to win this match against Como, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Frosinone is currently positioned 7th in Serie A, having played three matches this season with a record of two wins and one loss. They have scored six goals while conceding three, resulting in a positive goal difference of three. Their recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a solid start to the season. Como, on the other hand, sits in 3rd place after three games, with two wins and one draw, and remains unbeaten. They have netted seven goals and also conceded three, giving them a goal difference of four. However, their last five matches feature two wins and three draws, suggesting they may struggle to convert draws into victories against stronger opponents. The model gives Frosinone a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, Como's unbeaten streak could pose a challenge, especially if they can maintain their defensive solidity while capitalizing on Frosinone's vulnerabilities. The full methodology is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.7% probability.
Como have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Como win as the most likely scoreline at 12.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Como are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Frosinone vs Como| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.95 | 4.55 | 1.52 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.53 | 2.34 | |
| 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 6.05 | 4.70 | 1.52 | 1.45 | 2.90 | — | — | |
| 5.32 | 4.47 | 1.46 | — | — | — | — | |
| 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.38 | |
| 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 6.12 | 4.68 | 1.57 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.53 | 2.37 | |
Betano | 6.00 | 4.65 | 1.55 | 1.47 | 2.77 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.75 | 1.50 | 1.41 | 2.62 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 5 Meetings (Frosinone leads 4-1)In their last five encounters, Frosinone has won four times, while Como has secured one victory. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Frosinone to dominate, with three of their wins coming by a margin of at least two goals, including a 3-0 victory in the Coppa Italia. Como's sole win was a narrow 2-1 triumph, which highlights the competitive nature of that match. Overall, Frosinone's recent form against Como suggests a strong advantage, as Como's last win against Frosinone dates back to February 2022.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Inter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Como | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | WWD |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 |  Lazio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 7 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WWL |
| 18 |  Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 19 |  Genoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 20 |  Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFrosinone have won 6 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Venezia 3-2 and lost to Juventus 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 2L from the last 15 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Como have won 9 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Como 1-4 and beat Napoli 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 11D 4L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFrosinone4-2-3-1Confirmed
Como4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFrosinone
No reported absences
Como
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Chiffi has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Frosinone have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Como 7.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Como have generated 1.84 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Como player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
