Gent vs Standard Liege Prediction, Tips & Odds
Gent vs Standard Liege
Match Preview
The model favours Gent to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Gent currently sits at the top of the Jupiler Pro League standings, boasting an impressive record of five wins from five matches, contributing to a solid total of 15 points. Their goal difference of +8 highlights a strong offensive and defensive performance, having scored 10 goals while conceding just 2. This form reflects their dominance in the early part of the season. On the other hand, Standard Liege occupies the sixth position with 11 points from five matches, showing a commendable unbeaten run with three wins and two draws. They have also scored 10 goals, but their defensive record is less impressive, with 6 goals conceded leading to a goal difference of +4. While they have shown resilience, their inability to keep clean sheets could be a concern against a potent Gent attack. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% in favour of Gent. However, a potential caveat to consider is the possibility of Standard Liege exploiting any defensive lapses from Gent, as they have shown the ability to score. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season. This analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Gent manage games at home, conceding just 1.21 goals per match. Standard Liege score 1.55 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Gent have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Gent win as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Gent clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Gent are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Gent vs Standard Liege| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.76 | 3.52 | 4.50 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1.86 | |
| 1.73 | 3.30 | 4.40 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 1.81 | 3.67 | 4.73 | 1.99 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.37 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.84 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.33 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 1.81 | 3.61 | 4.62 | 1.96 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 1.88 | |
Betano | 1.83 | 3.75 | 4.70 | 1.98 | 1.88 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Gent leads 9-1)In the last 10 matches between Gent and Standard Liege, Gent has won 9 times while Standard Liege has won once, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a significant advantage for Gent, as they have secured several heavy victories, including two 5-0 wins and a 4-0 win. Standard Liege's sole victory came in a high-scoring 4-2 match, but overall, they have struggled to keep pace, often conceding multiple goals. The last time Standard Liege won against Gent was in 2024, highlighting a prolonged period of dominance by Gent in this fixture.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGent have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat OH Leuven 1-0 and beat Club Brugge KV 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 12D 9L from the last 33 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Standard Liege have won 10 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Standard Liege 1-2 and lost to Dunkerque 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 10L from the last 31 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedGent3-4-2-1Confirmed
Standard Liege4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersGent
No reported absences
Standard Liege
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Lothar D'Hondt has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Lothar D'Hondt to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Gent have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Standard Liege 3.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Gent have generated 1.30 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 2.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gent player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
