Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba Prediction, Tips & Odds
Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba
Match Preview
The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win this match against Gimnasia M., projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Talleres Cordoba is currently positioned 4th in the league, showcasing a solid season with seven wins, five draws, and just four losses from 16 matches. Their goal difference of +4, with 17 goals scored and only 13 conceded, reflects a well-balanced team that has been effective in both attack and defence. On the other hand, Gimnasia M. sits in 11th place with a record of five wins, four draws, and seven losses. Their goal difference of -8 indicates struggles, having scored only 14 goals while conceding 22. Despite managing three wins in their last five matches, the overall season performance has been inconsistent, which raises concerns about their ability to secure points against a higher-ranked opponent. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 65% for Talleres Cordoba, while Gimnasia M. sits at around 20%. One key market percentage indicates Talleres winning at odds of 1.80. However, a caveat to consider is Talleres Cordoba's recent form, which has seen them struggling with four consecutive losses. The full prediction method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, utilizing an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Gimnasia M. have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Talleres Cordoba average 1.0 goals per game.
Gimnasia M. manage games at home, conceding just 1.16 goals per match. Talleres Cordoba score 1.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.4% probability.
Gimnasia M. have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Gimnasia M. are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Gimnasia M. vs Talleres Cordoba| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.10 | 2.85 | 2.54 | 2.70 | 1.45 | 2.10 | 1.65 | |
| 3.08 | 2.80 | 2.57 | 2.57 | 1.40 | 2.11 | 1.63 | |
| 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.55 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 3.22 | 2.86 | 2.69 | 2.82 | 1.47 | — | — | |
| 2.76 | 2.78 | 2.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.50 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.45 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 3.14 | 2.84 | 2.62 | 2.57 | 1.40 | 2.13 | 1.64 | |
| 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.63 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.20 | 1.60 | |
| 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.50 | 2.63 | 1.44 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 3.15 | 2.87 | 2.60 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 4 Meetings (Gimnasia M. leads 2-1)The head-to-head record shows Gimnasia M. with 2 wins, Talleres Cordoba with 1 win, and 1 draw in their last 4 encounters. The matches have generally been competitive, with only one match ending in a draw and the rest decided by a single goal, indicating a tendency for tight contests. The most recent match saw Talleres Cordoba edge out Gimnasia M. 2-1, while Gimnasia M.'s last victory was in 2014. This suggests that while Gimnasia M. has had historical success, recent results have been more evenly matched.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | LWDLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | DWDDD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWDWL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WDDDD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 19 | DWWWL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | WLLDL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LDDLL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DDDLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGimnasia M. have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Boca Juniors 2-2 and beat Talleres Cordoba 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 8L from the last 25 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Talleres Cordoba have won 4 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Talleres Cordoba 1-0 and lost to Gimnasia M. 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 11L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGimnasia M.
No reported absences
Talleres Cordoba
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Gariano has averaged 6.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Gimnasia M. have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Talleres Cordoba 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Gimnasia M. have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Gimnasia M. player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
