Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds
Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna
Match Preview
The model favours Grazer AK to win this match against Austria Vienna, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Grazer AK currently sits in 10th place in the league standings, having accumulated 4 points from their first five matches. Their season has been challenging, marked by a goal difference of -11, with only 2 goals scored and 13 conceded. Despite their struggles, they have shown some resilience, managing to secure a win and a draw recently, which may provide a boost in confidence. On the other hand, Austria Vienna finds themselves in 12th position, just one point behind Grazer AK with 3 points from their five games. Their form has been inconsistent, with only one win so far and a goal difference of -7. While they secured a victory in their last five matches, the overall trend suggests they are struggling defensively, having conceded 10 goals. This could be a significant factor as they face a team that, despite its own issues, has managed to find the net slightly more often. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Grazer AK, suggesting they are the more likely victors. However, a potential caveat is that if Austria Vienna can tighten their defense and capitalize on any mistakes, they could pose a threat. For a full understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Grazer AK have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Grazer AK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.55 | 3.28 | 2.64 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.67 | 3.46 | 2.71 | 2.03 | 1.86 | — | — | |
| 2.38 | 3.06 | 2.60 | 1.99 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.55 | 3.28 | 2.64 | 1.94 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.35 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.89 | 1.78 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Austria Vienna leads 4-1)In the last six matches between Grazer AK and Austria Vienna, Austria Vienna leads with four wins, while Grazer AK has won once and there has been one draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of close contests; however, Austria Vienna has secured several victories, including two by a two-goal margin. The draw in their most recent Bundesliga clash suggests that matches can be tightly contested. Grazer AK's last win against Austria Vienna came in 2019, highlighting a trend where they have struggled to overcome this opponent in recent encounters.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 14 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  WSG Wattens | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | DWWLL |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 7 | WDLLW |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 10 |  Ried | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 11 |  Austria Lustenau | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 | LLDWL |
| 12 |  SCR Altach | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGrazer AK have won 8 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Wolfsberger AC 0-0 and lost to Dynamo Dresden 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 11L from the last 30 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Austria Vienna have won 9 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Austria Vienna 0-6 and lost to Red Bull Salzburg 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 10L from the last 32 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedGrazer AK3-1-4-2Confirmed
Austria Vienna3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersGrazer AK
No reported absences
Austria Vienna
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Arnes Talic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Arnes Talic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Grazer AK have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Austria Vienna 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Grazer AK have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Grazer AK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.