Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Match Preview
The model favours FK Crvena Zvezda to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Hapoel Beer Sheva. FK Crvena Zvezda has shown strong form recently, winning four of their last five matches. This consistency positions them well as they enter this crucial encounter in the UEFA Champions League qualifying round. Their ability to convert chances into goals has been a key factor, which is expected to play a significant role in this matchup. In contrast, Hapoel Beer Sheva has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five matches. Their form indicates challenges in both defense and attack, with three losses contributing to a lack of momentum. This situation puts them at a disadvantage against a confident opponent like Crvena Zvezda, who is riding a wave of positive results. The model output suggests a win probability of around 60% for FK Crvena Zvezda, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat for this prediction is Hapoel Beer Sheva's potential to turn their form around at home, which can sometimes lead to unexpected performances. For a deeper understanding of how these predictions are derived, refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.
Head to Head
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHapoel Beer Sheva have won 2 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Vikingur Reykjavik 2-0 and lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 5L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FK Crvena Zvezda have won 3 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Larne 0-4 and lost to Zenit 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 3L from the last 13 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHapoel Beer Sheva
No reported absences
FK Crvena Zvezda
No reported absences
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
