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Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Prediction, Tips & Odds

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty

UEFA Champions League3rd Qualifying Round
Levski Sofia
DWWWW
VS
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Kairat Almaty
WWLWW

Match Preview

The model favours Levski Sofia to win against Kairat Almaty, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Levski Sofia has shown impressive form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. This strong run highlights their ability to secure results, suggesting a solid attacking unit and a resilient defensive setup, which will be crucial in a knockout stage match. On the other hand, Kairat Almaty also comes into this fixture with a strong performance, winning four of their last five matches, although they did suffer one loss during this stretch. This inconsistency could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent like Levski Sofia. Their recent results indicate that while they can win, they may struggle against teams that can apply sustained pressure. The model output gives Levski Sofia a higher win probability based on their current form and overall performance metrics. However, a potential caveat is that if Kairat Almaty can capitalize on set pieces or exploit any defensive lapses, they could disrupt Levski's plans. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Levski SofiaKairat Almaty
2.06Goals p.g.2
0.56Goals conceded p.g.0.81
50%Clean sheets31%
61%Win rate69%
2.61Avg goals in match2.81
61%Possession %
4.0Shots on target / game
7.0Corners per game
Levski Sofia
Recent Form

Levski Sofia have won 9 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Levski Sofia 1-0 and beat Levski Sofia 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 1L from the last 18 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Levski SofiaAll competitions
29 Jul
Universitatea Craiova
2-2
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
25 Jul
Lokomotiv Sofia
1-2
Levski Sofia
First League
22 Jul
Levski Sofia
1-0
Universitatea Craiova
UEFA Champions League
17 Jul
Levski Sofia
2-1
Dunav Ruse
First League
14 Jul
Levski Sofia
4-0
Borac Banja Luka
UEFA Champions League
07 Jul
Borac Banja Luka
1-1
Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League
11
Win
61%
6
Draw
33%
1
Lost
6%
Kairat Almaty
Recent Form

Kairat Almaty have won 6 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Omonia Nicosia 1-0 and beat Atyrau 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 3D 2L from the last 16 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Kairat AlmatyAll competitions
29 Jul
Kairat Almaty
1-0
Omonia Nicosia
UEFA Champions League
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2-1
Ordabasy
Premier League
22 Jul
Omonia Nicosia
1-0
Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
18 Jul
Atyrau
1-3
Kairat Almaty
Premier League
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0-2
Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2-1
Sutjeska
UEFA Champions League
11
Win
69%
3
Draw
19%
2
Lost
13%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Levski Sofia

No reported absences

Kairat Almaty

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.