Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty
Match Preview
The model favours Levski Sofia to win against Kairat Almaty, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Levski Sofia has shown impressive form recently, going unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and one draw. This strong run highlights their ability to secure results, suggesting a solid attacking unit and a resilient defensive setup, which will be crucial in a knockout stage match. On the other hand, Kairat Almaty also comes into this fixture with a strong performance, winning four of their last five matches, although they did suffer one loss during this stretch. This inconsistency could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent like Levski Sofia. Their recent results indicate that while they can win, they may struggle against teams that can apply sustained pressure. The model output gives Levski Sofia a higher win probability based on their current form and overall performance metrics. However, a potential caveat is that if Kairat Almaty can capitalize on set pieces or exploit any defensive lapses, they could disrupt Levski's plans. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Levski Sofia have kept a clean sheet in 59% of matches. Kairat Almaty average 2.0 goals per game.
Levski Sofia manage games at home, conceding just 0.45 goals per match. Kairat Almaty score 2.00 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.2% probability.
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Levski Sofia win as the most likely scoreline at 20.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Levski Sofia clean sheets, in line with their 59% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Levski Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.61 | 3.55 | 6.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.62 | |
| 1.63 | 3.58 | 5.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.50 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 1.63 | 3.58 | 5.84 | 2.31 | 1.62 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.30 | 4.83 | 2.20 | 1.67 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.00 | — | — | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.75 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 1.68 | 3.68 | 5.76 | 2.29 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
| 1.58 | 3.70 | 5.60 | 2.00 | 1.68 | 2.00 | 1.68 | |
| 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.50 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 3.60 | 6.10 | 2.30 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
Superbet | 1.64 | 3.70 | 5.75 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.60 | 6.00 | 2.19 | 1.58 | 2.15 | 1.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Levski Sofia and Kairat Almaty stands at one match with no wins for either team and one draw. This fixture resulted in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested encounter with no goals scored. The lack of wins suggests that both sides have struggled to find an edge over the other in their only meeting to date. With no side having triumphed, it reflects a balanced matchup, though the absence of scoring may point to strong defensive performances or a lack of offensive effectiveness.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLevski Sofia have won 12 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Levski Sofia 2-0 and beat Levski Sofia 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 1L from the last 22 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kairat Almaty have won 6 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Omonia Nicosia 1-0 and beat Atyrau 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 2L from the last 15 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedLevski Sofia4-3-3Confirmed
Kairat Almaty4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersLevski Sofia
No reported absences
Kairat Almaty
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
D. Rumsas has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Rumsas to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Levski Sofia average 2.0 goals per match at home; Kairat Almaty 2.0 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 68% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Levski Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
