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Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna

UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff round
Heart Of Midlothian
WDWLL
VS
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Referee: M. Lukjancukas
Rapid Vienna
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.53 (implied 65.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 67.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.48). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.7% vs 65.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win this matchup against Heart Of Midlothian, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rapid Vienna comes into this game in excellent form, having won their last five matches. This consistent performance highlights their attacking prowess and defensive stability, which will be crucial in a knockout scenario. In contrast, Heart Of Midlothian has struggled recently, managing only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. This lack of form could affect their confidence and overall performance as they face a team in peak condition. The disparity in momentum suggests that Heart Of Midlothian will need to find a way to turn their season around quickly if they hope to compete effectively. The model indicates a strong probability of a Rapid Vienna victory, but there is always the potential for surprises in knockout matches, especially if Heart Of Midlothian can capitalize on home advantage and turn their form around. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Heart Of Midlothian Win41%2.37
Draw23%3.47
Rapid Vienna Win36%2.69
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5360.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6657.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Rapid Vienna
6.2516.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Heart Of Midlothian -0.5
2.2935%

Heart Of Midlothian have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.25
16.1%
2-1
8.45
12.0%
1-0
9.04
11.2%
1-2
9.10
11.1%
0-1
9.66
10.5%
2-2
10.65
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Heart Of Midlothian
-0.0
1.77
Rapid Vienna
+0.0
2.02
Heart Of Midlothian
-0.3
2.10
Rapid Vienna
+0.3
2.32
Heart Of Midlothian
-0.5
2.29
Rapid Vienna
+0.5
2.63
Heart Of Midlothian
-1.5
4.50
Rapid Vienna
+1.5
5.50

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Heart Of Midlothian are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Heart Of Midlothian vs Rapid Vienna
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.253.552.901.732.101.572.20
Marathonbet
2.383.502.681.632.211.512.35
Betfair
2.303.402.631.602.201.502.40
Pinnacle
2.383.662.701.632.28
SBO
2.223.132.631.732.05
William Hill
2.403.302.621.552.30
Bet365
2.383.602.501.672.151.572.25
1xBet
2.463.622.781.672.261.512.39
Unibet
2.383.452.851.682.001.572.20
888Sport
2.403.302.631.622.151.532.30
Betano
2.453.452.701.672.151.532.32
Superbet
2.403.502.721.642.171.532.35
BetVictor
2.383.602.631.612.131.502.40

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
91.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
78.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XHeart Of Midlothian or Draw
64%1.40
12Heart Of Midlothian or Rapid Vienna
77%1.27
X2Draw or Rapid Vienna
59%1.53

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Heart Of MidlothianRapid Vienna
1.6Goals p.g.1.97
1.3Goals conceded p.g.1.17
33%Clean sheets31%
53%Win rate57%
2.9Avg goals in match3.14
1.24xG per game1.76
-0.66xGA per game-0.16
53%Possession %61%
4.5Shots on target / game6.2
6.5Corners per game5.0
Heart Of Midlothian
Recent Form

Heart Of Midlothian have won 11 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Inverness CT 6-2 and drew with Benfica 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 5D 9L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Heart Of MidlothianAll competitions
16 Aug
Heart Of Midlothian
6-2
Inverness CT
League Cup
13 Aug
Heart Of Midlothian
1-1
Benfica
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
Heart Of Midlothian
4-0
Dundee Utd
Premiership
06 Aug
Benfica
6-1
Heart Of Midlothian
UEFA Europa League
01 Aug
Aberdeen
2-1
Heart Of Midlothian
Premiership
28 Jul
Heart Of Midlothian
0-2
Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League
16
Win
53%
5
Draw
17%
9
Lost
30%
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 6 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Ried 1-2 and beat Paide 1-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 6D 9L from the last 35 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
16 Aug
Rapid Vienna
8-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2-0
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Aug
Ried
1-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
06 Aug
Paide
1-4
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Rapid Vienna
1-0
SCR Altach
Bundesliga
29 Jul
Rapid Vienna
6-2
FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Europa Conference League
20
Win
57%
6
Draw
17%
9
Lost
26%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Heart Of Midlothian

No reported absences

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.66 (57.2%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (60.2%)
Value Bets
Heart Of Midlothian Win2.37 (41%)
Rapid Vienna Win2.69 (36.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.15 (42.8%)
BTTS No2.31 (39.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (22.6%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Lukjancukas has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Lukjancukas to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Heart Of Midlothian have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Rapid Vienna 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Heart Of Midlothian have generated 1.24 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 4.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Heart Of Midlothian player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.