HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina Prediction, Tips & Odds
HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina
Match Preview
The model favours HNK Hajduk Split to win this match, projecting a scoreline of approximately 2-1. Hajduk Split has shown strong form recently, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating a solid performance leading into this fixture. Their consistency is highlighted by their ability to secure results, which is crucial in knockout competitions like the UEFA Europa League. In contrast, Žilina has struggled in their recent outings, managing no wins in their last five matches, with three draws and two losses. This lack of form could be a significant factor as they face a confident Hajduk Split side. The inability to convert draws into wins may hinder Žilina's chances of success in this away fixture. According to the model, Hajduk Split has a 64.2% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 21.8% and Žilina at 14.0%. Additionally, there is a 53.8% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored. One caveat to consider is that if Žilina can improve their performance and find a way to break their winless streak, they might challenge Hajduk Split more than anticipated. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
HNK Hajduk Split have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 HNK Hajduk Split win as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature HNK Hajduk Split clean sheets, in line with their 42% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. HNK Hajduk Split are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
HNK Hajduk Split vs Žilina| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 1.80 | |
| 1.34 | 5.15 | 7.60 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.32 | 5.45 | 8.02 | 1.60 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 1.32 | 4.34 | 6.57 | 1.68 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 1.35 | 4.75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.36 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.91 | 1.80 | |
| 1.35 | 5.15 | 7.55 | 1.60 | 2.29 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
| 1.37 | 4.60 | 7.50 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.90 | 1.78 | |
| 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
Betano | 1.37 | 4.75 | 7.10 | 1.62 | 2.22 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
Superbet | 1.36 | 4.85 | 6.90 | 1.59 | 2.22 | 1.90 | 1.82 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (HNK Hajduk Split leads 1-0)HNK Hajduk Split has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against Žilina, with Žilina yet to secure a victory. The only match played between these teams ended with Hajduk Split winning 2-0, indicating a clear victory. This result suggests that Hajduk Split has had the upper hand in their past encounter, demonstrating a level of dominance. As it stands, Žilina has not managed to score against Hajduk Split in their only meeting, which may indicate challenges for them in breaking through Hajduk's defense.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHNK Hajduk Split have won 3 of their last 4 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 and beat HNK Hajduk Split 6-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 3D 3L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Žilina have won 0 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 and drew with Pardubice 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 4D 6L from the last 14 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHNK Hajduk Split4-2-3-1Confirmed
Žilina3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHNK Hajduk Split
No reported absences
Žilina
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Kyriakos has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Kyriakos to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
HNK Hajduk Split average 1.8 goals per match at home; Žilina 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
HNK Hajduk Split have generated 2.03 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. HNK Hajduk Split player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
