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Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Tips & Odds

Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
Hradec Králové
LWLDW
0 - 1
FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Beşiktaş
WWWWL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.73
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.0% vs 59.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Hradec Králové to win against Beşiktaş, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Hradec Králové has shown consistent form, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This strong performance suggests a solid foundation as they enter this crucial qualifying round, indicating their capability to convert chances effectively. On the other hand, Beşiktaş has struggled recently, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a concern as they face a confident Hradec Králové side. The Turkish team will need to improve their form significantly to compete effectively in this match. The model indicates a win probability of Hradec Králové around 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a key caveat is that if Beşiktaş can find their rhythm and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Hradec Králové, they could very well change the outcome. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Hradec Králové Win31%3.94
Draw23%3.44
Beşiktaş Win46%1.87
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6853.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.9750.2%

Hradec Králové manage games at home, conceding just 0.95 goals per match. Beşiktaş score 1.57 on the road.

Correct Score
Hradec Králové 1-1 Beşiktaş
6.3615.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Beşiktaş -0.0
1.3940%

Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.36
15.8%
0-1
7.16
14.0%
1-2
7.72
13.1%
0-2
8.90
11.3%
0-0
9.79
10.3%
1-0
11.26
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Hradec Králové
-0.0
2.95
Beşiktaş
+0.0
1.39
Hradec Králové
-0.3
2.62
Beşiktaş
+0.3
1.62
Hradec Králové
-0.5
3.67
Beşiktaş
+0.5
1.79
Hradec Králové
-1.5
9.50
Beşiktaş
+1.5
3.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Hradec Králové vs Beşiktaş
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.753.551.921.831.951.672.05
Marathonbet
4.053.481.861.791.991.672.05
Betfair
4.203.401.851.802.001.652.20
Pinnacle
4.073.601.851.772.06
SBO
3.283.021.951.871.91
William Hill
3.753.251.851.672.05
Bet365
4.003.401.831.851.951.732.00
1xBet
4.213.621.931.842.051.672.08
Unibet
4.103.551.811.731.951.652.06
888Sport
3.753.251.851.801.911.672.05
Betano
4.003.501.871.851.931.722.00
Superbet
4.103.501.921.832.001.712.05
BetVictor
3.903.601.871.761.921.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XHradec Králové or Draw
54%1.87
12Hradec Králové or Beşiktaş
77%1.27
X2Draw or Beşiktaş
69%1.23

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Hradec Králové1 Draw0 Beşiktaş
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-0
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League

The head-to-head record between Hradec Králové and Beşiktaş shows one draw, with no wins for either side. Their only encounter ended in a goalless draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither team able to find the net. This lack of scoring suggests a defensive focus or strong goalkeeping from both sides. Given that there have been no victories yet, it remains to be seen how future meetings may unfold.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Hradec KrálovéBeşiktaş
1.6Goals p.g.1.57
0.95Goals conceded p.g.0.93
30%Clean sheets40%
60%Win rate53%
2.55Avg goals in match2.5
1.08xG per game1.21
-0.18xGA per game0.69
36%Possession %53%
5.5Shots on target / game4.0
4.5Corners per game4.0
Hradec Králové
Recent Form

Hradec Králové have won 8 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hradec Králové 2-1 and lost to Hradec Králové 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 4L from the last 20 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Hradec KrálovéAll competitions
13 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
09 Aug
Hradec Králové
2-1
Baník Ostrava
Czech Liga
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-1
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
02 Aug
Bohemians 1905
0-0
Hradec Králové
Czech Liga
30 Jul
Hradec Králové
3-1
Tromso
UEFA Europa League
26 Jul
Hradec Králové
2-1
Pardubice
Czech Liga
12
Win
60%
4
Draw
20%
4
Lost
20%
Beşiktaş
Recent Form

Beşiktaş have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Hradec Králové 0-1 and beat FC Midtjylland 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 7L from the last 30 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: BeşiktaşAll competitions
13 Aug
Beşiktaş
1-0
Hradec Králové
UEFA Europa League
06 Aug
Hradec Králové
0-1
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
30 Jul
FC Midtjylland
0-2
Beşiktaş
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Beşiktaş
1-0
FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa League
14 Jul
Spartak Trnava
3-2
Beşiktaş
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Malženice
1-1
Beşiktaş
Friendlies Clubs
16
Win
53%
7
Draw
23%
7
Lost
23%

Lineups

Confirmed

Hradec Králové3-4-2-1Confirmed

7Jakub UhrinčaťDEF
25František ČechDEF
5Filip ČihákDEF
17Ondřej MihálikFWD
19Tom SlončíkFWD
10Mick van BurenFWD
12Adam ZadražilGK
28Jakub KuceraMID
26Daniel HorákMID
11Samuel DancákMID
16Vladimír DaridaMID
2David LudvicekDEF
14Jakub HodekFWD
24Abdullahi UmarFWD
18Marko RegžaFWD
20Matyas VagnerGK
1Patrik VízekGK
9Matěj ValentaMID
27Daniel TrubačMID
6Elione Fernandes NetoMID
77Lucas KubrMID
22Stepan PonikelskyMID

Beşiktaş4-1-4-1Confirmed

62Amir MurilloDEF
11Kassoum OuattaraDEF
53Emirhan TopçuDEF
35Tiago DjalóDEF
9Hyeon-gyu OhFWD
1Alexander NübelGK
6Salih ÖzcanMID
18Václav ČernýMID
15Junior OlaitanMID
10Orkun KökçüMID
29İlhan FakiliMID
22Taylan BulutDEF
12Emmanuel AgbadouDEF
14Felix UduokhaiDEF
33Rıdvan YılmazDEF
58Yasin ÖzcanDEF
90Semih KılıçsoyFWD
23Mustafa HekimoğluFWD
80Doğan AlemdarGK
5Amir HadžiahmetovićMID
7Milot RashicaMID
8Kartal Kayra YılmazMID
4Wilfred NdidiMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Hradec Králové

No reported absences

Beşiktaş

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Hradec Králové Win3.94 (31.2%)
Beşiktaş Win1.87 (45.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.81 (49.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.97 (50.2%)
Both Teams Score1.68 (53.6%)
BTTS No2.06 (46.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.44 (23.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Hradec Králové have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Beşiktaş 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Beşiktaş have generated 1.21 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.