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Jagiellonia vs Rangers Prediction, Tips & Odds

Jagiellonia vs Rangers

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
Jagiellonia
WWWWW
2 - 1
Chorten Arena, Bialystok
Rangers
LDDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.75
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.72 (implied 58.2%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 60.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.65). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (60.7% vs 58.2%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rangers to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rangers have shown a strong start to the season, with two wins in their last five matches, although they have faced challenges recently, suffering three consecutive losses. Their ability to secure victories in difficult situations will be crucial in this qualifying round. On the other hand, Jagiellonia comes into this match with impressive form, having won four of their last five matches, including one draw. This strong performance suggests they are in good spirits and capable of applying significant pressure on Rangers. Their recent success could provide them with the momentum needed to challenge their opponents effectively. According to the model, Rangers have a 37% chance of winning, while Jagiellonia's win probability stands at 33.7%. The projected score reflects a competitive match, with the possibility of over 2.5 goals at 48%. A key caveat to consider is Rangers' recent form, which may impact their confidence and performance on the day. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Jagiellonia Win41%2.94
Draw24%3.17
Rangers Win35%2.36
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7256.9%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.9552.6%

Combined goal output is high (3.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Jagiellonia 1-1 Rangers
5.8717.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Jagiellonia -0.5
2.8335%

Jagiellonia have been the stronger side, winning 75% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.87
17.1%
0-1
7.51
13.4%
1-2
8.58
11.8%
1-0
8.60
11.7%
0-0
9.09
11.1%
2-1
9.87
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Jagiellonia
-0.0
2.09
Rangers
+0.0
1.71
Jagiellonia
-0.3
2.55
Rangers
+0.3
2.10
Jagiellonia
-0.5
2.83
Rangers
+0.5
2.22
Jagiellonia
-1.5
6.00
Rangers
+1.5
5.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Jagiellonia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Jagiellonia vs Rangers
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.843.302.421.951.831.702.00
Marathonbet
2.963.162.391.951.821.702.01
Betfair
3.003.202.301.901.871.732.10
Pinnacle
3.023.112.432.021.83
SBO
2.783.022.171.941.84
William Hill
2.883.002.301.751.95
Bet365
2.883.102.351.951.851.732.00
1xBet
3.083.282.492.011.881.702.04
Unibet
3.053.302.251.871.801.682.00
888Sport
2.883.002.301.951.751.751.95
Betano
3.003.202.451.981.871.702.07
Superbet
3.003.252.451.971.831.752.02
BetVictor
2.903.302.381.911.771.702.00

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XJagiellonia or Draw
65%1.54
12Jagiellonia or Rangers
76%1.31
X2Draw or Rangers
59%1.37

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Jagiellonia leads 1-0)
1 Jagiellonia0 Draw0 Rangers
06 Aug
Jagiellonia
2-1
Rangers
UEFA Europa League

In their sole head-to-head encounter, Jagiellonia has won 1 match, while Rangers have not secured a win or a draw. The only fixture took place in August 2026, where Jagiellonia defeated Rangers 2-1. This result indicates a competitive match, with Jagiellonia managing a narrow victory. As it stands, Rangers have yet to find success against Jagiellonia, and the absence of draws in their record suggests a clear outcome in their previous meeting.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
JagielloniaRangers
1.58Goals p.g.2.36
0.67Goals conceded p.g.1.5
58%Clean sheets23%
75%Win rate41%
2.25Avg goals in match3.86
1.60xG per game2.11
0.06xGA per game-0.46
56%Possession %56%
7.3Shots on target / game6.6
6.0Corners per game6.7
Jagiellonia
Recent Form

Jagiellonia have won 7 of their last 8 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Łomża 1-0 and beat Korona Kielce 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 2D 1L from the last 12 games (75% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: JagielloniaAll competitions
26 Jul
Jagiellonia
1-0
Łomża
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
Jagiellonia
1-0
Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa
17 Jul
FC Nordsjaelland
1-2
Jagiellonia
Friendlies Clubs
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1-0
Sparta Praha
Friendlies Clubs
12 Jul
Jagiellonia
1-0
Pafos
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
Polessya
0-0
Jagiellonia
Friendlies Clubs
9
Win
75%
2
Draw
17%
1
Lost
8%
Rangers
Recent Form

Rangers have won 3 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Rangers 2-1 and drew with Dundee Utd 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 6L from the last 22 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: RangersAll competitions
06 Aug
Jagiellonia
2-1
Rangers
UEFA Europa League
31 Jul
Dundee Utd
1-1
Rangers
Premiership
26 Jul
Rangers
0-0
West Ham
Friendlies Clubs
22 Jul
Rangers
2-1
Saint Etienne
Friendlies Clubs
16 May
Falkirk
2-5
Rangers
Premiership
13 May
Rangers
1-2
Hibernian
Premiership
9
Win
41%
7
Draw
32%
6
Lost
27%

Lineups

Confirmed

Jagiellonia4-3-3Confirmed

4Yuki KobayashiDEF
27Rodrigo ConceiçãoDEF
44Apostolos KonstantopoulosDEF
15Norbert WojtuszekDEF
23Guilherme MontóiaDEF
99Nik PrelecFWD
50Sławomir AbramowiczGK
6Taras RomanczukMID
21Sergio LozanoMID
7Kajetan SzmytMID
11Jesús ImazMID
53Bartlomiej KrasiewiczDEF
17Youssuf SyllaFWD
90Maciej KuczynskiFWD
80Zachary ZalewskiFWD
9Dimitris RallisFWD
66Adrian DamasiewiczGK
1Michał PerchelGK
2Cezary PolakMID
10Jeremy AgbonifoMID
19Ferslev Anders KlyngeMID
85Eryk KozłowskiMID
8Dawid DrachalMID

Rangers4-2-3-1Confirmed

25Tuur RommensDEF
21Dujon SterlingDEF
37Emmanuel FernandezDEF
17Daisuke YokotaFWD
9Youssef ChermitiFWD
1Ivor PandurGK
42Tochi ChukwuaniMID
2Ross McCrorieMID
6Dan NeilMID
11Thelo AasgaardMID
10Mohammed DiomandeMID
41Alexander HuttonDEF
24Olwethu MakhanyaDEF
7Lawrence ShanklandFWD
20Ryan Don NaderiFWD
28Bojan MiovskiFWD
31Liam KellyGK
22Vanja DragojevićMID
43Nicolas RaskinMID
45Ross McCauslandMID
52Findlay CurtisMID
14Cameron DevlinMID
23Djeidi GassamaMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Jagiellonia

No reported absences

Rangers

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.72 (56.9%)
Value Bets
Jagiellonia Win2.94 (41.3%)
Rangers Win2.36 (34.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.95 (52.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (47.4%)
BTTS No2.01 (43.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.17 (24.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Jagiellonia have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Rangers 6.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Jagiellonia have generated 1.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 75% of them. They put 7.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Jagiellonia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.