KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction, Tips & Odds
KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova
Match Preview
The model favours Universitatea Craiova to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. This prediction is supported by their recent form, which includes two wins in their last five matches, alongside one draw. While their overall performance has been mixed, the two victories indicate they are capable of securing results when needed. In contrast, KuPS has struggled recently, recording only two wins in their last five matches and suffering three losses. This inconsistent form may hinder their ability to compete effectively against a side like Universitatea Craiova, who are showing signs of improvement with their recent results. The model assigns a 44.5% probability of a Universitatea Craiova win, a 27.5% chance for KuPS, and a 27.9% chance of a draw. Additionally, there is a 48.4% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 53.1% probability of both teams scoring. One caveat to consider is that if KuPS can turn their form around and capitalize on home advantage, they could upset the prediction. For a detailed explanation of our analysis, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This assessment comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
KuPS manage games at home, conceding just 0.90 goals per match. Universitatea Craiova score 1.53 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.1% probability.
Universitatea Craiova have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Universitatea Craiova are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
KuPS vs Universitatea Craiova| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.30 | 3.35 | 2.12 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.73 | 1.95 | |
| 3.28 | 3.22 | 2.19 | 1.95 | 1.82 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
| 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.17 | 3.45 | 2.18 | 1.96 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 3.28 | 3.04 | 1.94 | 1.91 | 1.87 | — | — | |
| 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.41 | 3.34 | 2.28 | 2.01 | 1.88 | 1.72 | 2.01 | |
| 3.30 | 3.35 | 2.08 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.66 | 2.05 | |
| 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
Betano | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.18 | 1.95 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
Superbet | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 2.05 | 1.78 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.93 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between KuPS and Universitatea Craiova stands at one match, with both teams drawing once and neither securing a win. The lone fixture ended in a scoreless draw, indicating a tightly contested encounter with no goals scored. This lack of scoring suggests both defenses were effective, and it reflects a balanced matchup without a clear advantage for either side. Given the absence of victories for both teams in their only meeting, it remains to be seen how future encounters will unfold.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonKuPS have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with KuPS 1-1 and drew with KuPS 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 4L from the last 21 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Universitatea Craiova have won 1 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with KuPS 1-1 and lost to Dinamo Bucuresti 5-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 3L from the last 19 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKuPS4-2-3-1Confirmed
Universitatea Craiova3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersKuPS
No reported absences
Universitatea Craiova
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
KuPS have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Universitatea Craiova 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Universitatea Craiova have generated 1.36 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Universitatea Craiova player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
